Trader consensus prices Portugal at 66% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup Group K, reflecting their elite FIFA ranking (around 7th), star-laden squad under Roberto Martinez, and strong Nations League final run last month despite penalty shootout loss to Croatia on November 18. Colombia holds 31.5% as a competitive challenger, fueled by an impressive 28-match unbeaten streak capped by a 3-0 home win over Chile in CONMEBOL qualifiers on November 19, positioning them atop the South American standings. DRC, Jamaica, New Caledonia, and Uzbekistan languish below 3% combined due to lower rankings (mid-50s to 140s), inconsistent regional qualifier form, and weaker confederation depth, with no recent upsets to shift sentiment ahead of the 2026 tournament.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur du Groupe K de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA
Vainqueur du Groupe K de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA
Portugal 66%
Colombie 32%
RDC/JAM/NCL 2.8%
Ouzbékistan 1.4%
$17,271 Vol.
$17,271 Vol.
Portugal
66%
Colombie
32%
RDC/JAM/NCL
3%
Ouzbékistan
1%
Portugal 66%
Colombie 32%
RDC/JAM/NCL 2.8%
Ouzbékistan 1.4%
$17,271 Vol.
$17,271 Vol.
Portugal
66%
Colombie
32%
RDC/JAM/NCL
3%
Ouzbékistan
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Portugal at 66% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup Group K, reflecting their elite FIFA ranking (around 7th), star-laden squad under Roberto Martinez, and strong Nations League final run last month despite penalty shootout loss to Croatia on November 18. Colombia holds 31.5% as a competitive challenger, fueled by an impressive 28-match unbeaten streak capped by a 3-0 home win over Chile in CONMEBOL qualifiers on November 19, positioning them atop the South American standings. DRC, Jamaica, New Caledonia, and Uzbekistan languish below 3% combined due to lower rankings (mid-50s to 140s), inconsistent regional qualifier form, and weaker confederation depth, with no recent upsets to shift sentiment ahead of the 2026 tournament.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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