Switzerland leads Group B winner markets at 53.5% implied probability, driven by their dominant UEFA qualifying campaign—topping Group B with 14 points from six matches, including a perfect defensive record—and higher FIFA ranking around 18th, bolstered by stars like Granit Xhaka and Breel Embolo. Canada's 25.5% share reflects co-host home advantage, notably their Toronto opener versus Bosnia on June 12, plus improved form under Jesse Marsch post-CONCACAF qualifiers. Bosnia and Herzegovina's recent playoff upset over Italy on March 31 clinched their spot, elevating the bundled BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL outcome to 17.5% on qualification momentum despite lower rankings. Qatar trails at 4%, weighed by their dismal 2022 hosting performance despite Asian qualification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourSuisse 53%
Canada 26%
BIH/ITA/IRN/PdG 18%
Qatar 4.0%
$35,886 Vol.
$35,886 Vol.
Suisse
53%
Canada
26%
BIH/ITA/IRN/PdG
18%
Qatar
4%
Suisse 53%
Canada 26%
BIH/ITA/IRN/PdG 18%
Qatar 4.0%
$35,886 Vol.
$35,886 Vol.
Suisse
53%
Canada
26%
BIH/ITA/IRN/PdG
18%
Qatar
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 5, 2025, 6:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Switzerland leads Group B winner markets at 53.5% implied probability, driven by their dominant UEFA qualifying campaign—topping Group B with 14 points from six matches, including a perfect defensive record—and higher FIFA ranking around 18th, bolstered by stars like Granit Xhaka and Breel Embolo. Canada's 25.5% share reflects co-host home advantage, notably their Toronto opener versus Bosnia on June 12, plus improved form under Jesse Marsch post-CONCACAF qualifiers. Bosnia and Herzegovina's recent playoff upset over Italy on March 31 clinched their spot, elevating the bundled BIH/ITA/NIR/WAL outcome to 17.5% on qualification momentum despite lower rankings. Qatar trails at 4%, weighed by their dismal 2022 hosting performance despite Asian qualification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes