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Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

Market icon

Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026

Finlande 36.8%

France 12.5%

Danemark 10.4%

Grèce 6.7%

Polymarket

$58,101,673 Vol.

Finlande 36.8%

France 12.5%

Danemark 10.4%

Grèce 6.7%

Polymarket

$58,101,673 Vol.

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Finlande

$1,914,668 Vol.

37%

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France

$1,499,711 Vol.

13%

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Danemark

$1,025,828 Vol.

10%

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Grèce

$1,392,595 Vol.

7%

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Australie

$1,268,543 Vol.

7%

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Israël

$1,288,640 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,198,993 Vol.

3%

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Suède

$993,675 Vol.

3%

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Italie

$1,595,980 Vol.

2%

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Roumanie

$969,122 Vol.

2%

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Tchéquie

$835,417 Vol.

1%

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Chypre

$1,165,536 Vol.

1%

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Malte

$1,062,719 Vol.

1%

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Bulgarie

$1,147,089 Vol.

1%

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Allemagne

$923,265 Vol.

1%

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Lituanie

$1,966,771 Vol.

1%

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Belgique

$1,273,852 Vol.

1%

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Croatie

$1,001,422 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$1,076,649 Vol.

1%

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Moldavie

$1,248,701 Vol.

1%

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Norvège

$1,495,399 Vol.

1%

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Suisse

$2,329,632 Vol.

1%

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Royaume-Uni

$722,509 Vol.

1%

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Albanie

$2,370,109 Vol.

<1%

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Autriche

$2,458,650 Vol.

<1%

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Estonie

$2,847,078 Vol.

<1%

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Lettonie

$2,407,748 Vol.

<1%

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Saint-Marin

$2,653,349 Vol.

<1%

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Arménie

$2,392,916 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaïdjan

$2,763,673 Vol.

<1%

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Géorgie

$2,499,975 Vol.

<1%

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Monténégro

$3,014,699 Vol.

<1%

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Pologne

$2,235,429 Vol.

<1%

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Serbie

$845,108 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,220,311 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen top the trader consensus at 36.7% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by their dominant UMK national selection victory with "Liekinheitin"—a high-energy track blending violin flair and pop punch that secured strong jury scores alongside televote potential reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Recent OGAE fan votes, including France's 12 points, and chart-topping buzz have solidified their frontrunner status, while France surges to 12.5% on heavy wagering amid internal selection hype, Denmark holds 10.4% via Søren Torpegaard Lund's streaming momentum, and Greece (6.7%) gains from Akylas' buzz. Australia's Delta Goodrem adds 6.6% viability, but semi-final running orders just revealed could spark shifts ahead of May's qualifiers.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$58,101,673
Date de fin
16 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen top the trader consensus at 36.7% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, propelled by their dominant UMK national selection victory with "Liekinheitin"—a high-energy track blending violin flair and pop punch that secured strong jury scores alongside televote potential reminiscent of past Finnish hits like "Cha Cha Cha." Recent OGAE fan votes, including France's 12 points, and chart-topping buzz have solidified their frontrunner status, while France surges to 12.5% on heavy wagering amid internal selection hype, Denmark holds 10.4% via Søren Torpegaard Lund's streaming momentum, and Greece (6.7%) gains from Akylas' buzz. Australia's Delta Goodrem adds 6.6% viability, but semi-final running orders just revealed could spark shifts ahead of May's qualifiers.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$58,101,673
Date de fin
16 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Questions fréquentes

« Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 35 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Finlande » à 37%, suivi de « France » à 13%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 37¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » a généré $58.1 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 6, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 », parcourez les 35 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » est « Finlande » à 37%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 37% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « France » à 13%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Lauréat de l'Eurovision 2026 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.