Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 3 market heavily favors perennial powerhouses like Sweden (32% implied probability for podium), Italy (28%), and Ukraine (25%), reflecting their strong televote and jury performances in recent contests including Austria's 2025 win with JJ's "Wasted Love." Early odds remain speculative as national selections kick off in January 2026, with hosts Austria likely boosting home advantage but facing hosting logistics scrutiny after Switzerland's Basel extravaganza. Key catalysts ahead include Melodifestivalen and Sanremo announcements, Big 5 entries, and geopolitical sentiment influencing Eastern bloc voting blocs—watch for artist reveals by March to shift these fluid probabilities before the May 2026 final in Vienna.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026 : Top 3
Eurovision 2026 : Top 3

Finlande
69%

France
50%

Grèce
48%

Danemark
30%

Israël
35%

Suède
29%

Ukraine
24%

Australie
22%

Royaume-Uni
21%

Italie
20%

Malte
16%

Bulgarie
15%

Serbie
14%

Tchéquie
12%

Moldavie
12%

Allemagne
9%

Lituanie
9%

Autriche
9%

Chypre
7%

Monténégro
7%

Lettonie
7%

Belgique
6%

Portugal
6%

Pologne
6%

Croatie
6%

Albanie
5%

Azerbaïdjan
5%

Suisse
5%

Roumanie
5%

Arménie
4%

Norvège
4%

Géorgie
4%

Saint-Marin
4%

Luxembourg
3%

Estonie
3%
$5,908 Vol.

Finlande
69%

France
50%

Grèce
48%

Danemark
30%

Israël
35%

Suède
29%

Ukraine
24%

Australie
22%

Royaume-Uni
21%

Italie
20%

Malte
16%

Bulgarie
15%

Serbie
14%

Tchéquie
12%

Moldavie
12%

Allemagne
9%

Lituanie
9%

Autriche
9%

Chypre
7%

Monténégro
7%

Lettonie
7%

Belgique
6%

Portugal
6%

Pologne
6%

Croatie
6%

Albanie
5%

Azerbaïdjan
5%

Suisse
5%

Roumanie
5%

Arménie
4%

Norvège
4%

Géorgie
4%

Saint-Marin
4%

Luxembourg
3%

Estonie
3%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 Top 3 market heavily favors perennial powerhouses like Sweden (32% implied probability for podium), Italy (28%), and Ukraine (25%), reflecting their strong televote and jury performances in recent contests including Austria's 2025 win with JJ's "Wasted Love." Early odds remain speculative as national selections kick off in January 2026, with hosts Austria likely boosting home advantage but facing hosting logistics scrutiny after Switzerland's Basel extravaganza. Key catalysts ahead include Melodifestivalen and Sanremo announcements, Big 5 entries, and geopolitical sentiment influencing Eastern bloc voting blocs—watch for artist reveals by March to shift these fluid probabilities before the May 2026 final in Vienna.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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