Trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026 Top 10 markets favors perennial contenders like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and Finland, with implied probabilities above 50% reflecting their track records of strong national finals, televote dominance, and jury appeal—Sweden's Loreen-era momentum and Ukraine's diaspora voting edge lead the pack. Recent developments include confirmations of participation from most countries post-2025 entries, but no major artist announcements yet, keeping odds stable amid 2025's Basel showdown on May 13-17, whose winner secures 2026 hosting rights and home turf boost. Watch for Melodifestivalen-style reveals starting late 2025; historical precedent shows pre-final hype often overprices favorites before jury shocks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourEurovision 2026: Top 10
Eurovision 2026: Top 10
$80,702 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
82%

Denmark
80%

Greece
80%

France
77%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
73%

Australia
66%

Italy
64%

Bulgaria
42%

Czechia
40%

Cyprus
39%

Moldova
37%

Latvia
32%

Malta
30%

Croatia
30%

Luxembourg
16%

Romania
23%

Norway
20%

Albania
19%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
15%

Georgia
15%

Lithuania
15%

Portugal
14%

Belgium
14%

Germany
13%

Estonia
8%

Montenegro
13%

Poland
12%

Serbia
12%

Switzerland
12%

San Marino
11%

Azerbaijan
8%

Austria
6%
$80,702 Vol.

Finland
89%

Israel
82%

Denmark
80%

Greece
80%

France
77%

Ukraine
75%

Sweden
73%

Australia
66%

Italy
64%

Bulgaria
42%

Czechia
40%

Cyprus
39%

Moldova
37%

Latvia
32%

Malta
30%

Croatia
30%

Luxembourg
16%

Romania
23%

Norway
20%

Albania
19%

United Kingdom
18%

Armenia
15%

Georgia
15%

Lithuania
15%

Portugal
14%

Belgium
14%

Germany
13%

Estonia
8%

Montenegro
13%

Poland
12%

Serbia
12%

Switzerland
12%

San Marino
11%

Azerbaijan
8%

Austria
6%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 5:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for Eurovision 2026 Top 10 markets favors perennial contenders like Sweden, Ukraine, Italy, and Finland, with implied probabilities above 50% reflecting their track records of strong national finals, televote dominance, and jury appeal—Sweden's Loreen-era momentum and Ukraine's diaspora voting edge lead the pack. Recent developments include confirmations of participation from most countries post-2025 entries, but no major artist announcements yet, keeping odds stable amid 2025's Basel showdown on May 13-17, whose winner secures 2026 hosting rights and home turf boost. Watch for Melodifestivalen-style reveals starting late 2025; historical precedent shows pre-final hype often overprices favorites before jury shocks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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