WTI crude oil futures have surged above $112 per barrel in the front month amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz supply disruption fears, fueled by recent Trump administration statements, marking an 11% daily gain and over 50% monthly rise as of April 4, 2026. June 2026 contracts (CLM26) trade near $98, reflecting trader consensus for mean reversion as near-term geopolitical premiums unwind against building U.S. inventories—EIA data for the week ending March 27 showed a 5.5 million barrel crude stock build to 461.6 million barrels, near three-year highs. OPEC+ meets April 6 to consider output hikes, with weekly EIA reports and IEA Oil Market Report on May 13 as key catalysts ahead of June settlement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
Pétrole brut (CL) au-dessus de ___ fin juin ?
$80,050 Vol.
90 $
60%
85 $
63%
80 $
70%
75 $
80%
70 $
80%
65 $
83%
63 $
89%
60 $
92%
56 $
93%
55 $
93%
52 $
96%
50 $
94%
$80,050 Vol.
90 $
60%
85 $
63%
80 $
70%
75 $
80%
70 $
80%
65 $
83%
63 $
89%
60 $
92%
56 $
93%
55 $
93%
52 $
96%
50 $
94%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Marché ouvert : Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...WTI crude oil futures have surged above $112 per barrel in the front month amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz supply disruption fears, fueled by recent Trump administration statements, marking an 11% daily gain and over 50% monthly rise as of April 4, 2026. June 2026 contracts (CLM26) trade near $98, reflecting trader consensus for mean reversion as near-term geopolitical premiums unwind against building U.S. inventories—EIA data for the week ending March 27 showed a 5.5 million barrel crude stock build to 461.6 million barrels, near three-year highs. OPEC+ meets April 6 to consider output hikes, with weekly EIA reports and IEA Oil Market Report on May 13 as key catalysts ahead of June settlement.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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