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Décision de la Banque du Japon en janvier ?

Market icon

Décision de la Banque du Japon en janvier ?

Pas de changement 100.0%

Diminuer les taux <1%

Hausse de 25 points de base <1%

Augmentation de plus de 50 points de base <1%

Polymarket

$4,163,890 Vol.

Pas de changement 100.0%

Diminuer les taux <1%

Hausse de 25 points de base <1%

Augmentation de plus de 50 points de base <1%

Polymarket

$4,163,890 Vol.

Diminuer les taux

$1,232,569 Vol.

Non

Pas de changement

$968,369 Vol.

Oui

Hausse de 25 points de base

$758,928 Vol.

Non

Augmentation de plus de 50 points de base

$1,204,024 Vol.

Non

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for January is scheduled to be released on January 23, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm).

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's January 2026 meeting.

If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$4,163,890
Date de fin
Jan 23, 2026
Marché ouvert
Nov 7, 2025, 4:18 PM ET
The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for January is scheduled to be released on January 23, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's January 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Décision de la Banque du Japon en janvier ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pas de changement" at 100%, followed by "Diminuer les taux" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Décision de la Banque du Japon en janvier ?" has generated $4.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Décision de la Banque du Japon en janvier ?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Décision de la Banque du Japon en janvier ?" is "Pas de changement" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Diminuer les taux" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Décision de la Banque du Japon en janvier ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.