Clayton Johnson holds a slim edge at 28.4% implied probability as Bachelorette Season 22 frontrunner, driven by his standout Hometown date and emotional vulnerability that resonated in episode recaps, edging out Aaron Kahng's 24.4% on physical chemistry and charm during group challenges. Trader sentiment reflects razor-thin margins post-Rose Ceremony 8, with Polymarket volumes spiking on fan polls favoring Clayton's "journey arc" amid Instagram buzz and podcast spoilers. Differentiators include Johnson's family approval versus Kahng's travel anecdotes appealing to adventure seekers, though producer edits hint at volatility ahead of Fantasy Suites—historical precedents show 40% swings from overnight dates, keeping underdogs like Matt Carroll viable at 8.6%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGagnant de la saison 22 de Bachelorette
Gagnant de la saison 22 de Bachelorette
Clayton Johnson 28.5%
Aaron Kahng 24.4%
Doug Mason 11.1%
Rod Strozier 5.8%
$50,645 Vol.
$50,645 Vol.
Clayton Johnson
28%
Aaron Kahng
24%
Doug Mason
8%
Rod Strozier
6%
Richard Van De Water
5%
Christopher Wood
2%
Johnnie LaRossa
2%
Conrad Ukropina
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Mike Turitto
1%
Brad Ledford
1%
Matt Carroll
7%
Marcus Richardson
<1%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
Clayton Johnson 28.5%
Aaron Kahng 24.4%
Doug Mason 11.1%
Rod Strozier 5.8%
$50,645 Vol.
$50,645 Vol.
Clayton Johnson
28%
Aaron Kahng
24%
Doug Mason
8%
Rod Strozier
6%
Richard Van De Water
5%
Christopher Wood
2%
Johnnie LaRossa
2%
Conrad Ukropina
1%
Shane Parton
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Mike Turitto
1%
Brad Ledford
1%
Matt Carroll
7%
Marcus Richardson
<1%
Kevin Montero
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Lew Evans
<1%
Malik Evans
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Marché ouvert : Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Clayton Johnson holds a slim edge at 28.4% implied probability as Bachelorette Season 22 frontrunner, driven by his standout Hometown date and emotional vulnerability that resonated in episode recaps, edging out Aaron Kahng's 24.4% on physical chemistry and charm during group challenges. Trader sentiment reflects razor-thin margins post-Rose Ceremony 8, with Polymarket volumes spiking on fan polls favoring Clayton's "journey arc" amid Instagram buzz and podcast spoilers. Differentiators include Johnson's family approval versus Kahng's travel anecdotes appealing to adventure seekers, though producer edits hint at volatility ahead of Fantasy Suites—historical precedents show 40% swings from overnight dates, keeping underdogs like Matt Carroll viable at 8.6%.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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