Post-2024 election Republican dominance has nudged "No" to a slim 52% implied probability in the "Love Wins: 2026 Edition" market, reflecting trader bets that nationwide same-sex marriage protections could erode by year's end amid Project 2025 pushes to devolve marriage to states. Yet, the razor-thin margin stems from strong countervailing forces: enduring Obergefell v. Hodges precedent, 70%+ public approval in Gallup polls, and SCOTUS reluctance to revisit settled rights without a direct challenge. Key balancers include conservative justices' deference to stare decisis and Democratic midterm momentum potential. Watch 2025 state ballot fights, like Tennessee's ban efforts, and the October SCOTUS term for circuit splits that could prompt review—any adverse ruling might swing odds decisively toward "No."
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourL'amour gagne : édition 2026
L'amour gagne : édition 2026
Oui
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Oui
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:
- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:
- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdfThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:
- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
Marché ouvert : Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:
- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:
- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdfThis market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET:
- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
- Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married
- Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married
- Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
Volume
$0Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 10, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Post-2024 election Republican dominance has nudged "No" to a slim 52% implied probability in the "Love Wins: 2026 Edition" market, reflecting trader bets that nationwide same-sex marriage protections could erode by year's end amid Project 2025 pushes to devolve marriage to states. Yet, the razor-thin margin stems from strong countervailing forces: enduring Obergefell v. Hodges precedent, 70%+ public approval in Gallup polls, and SCOTUS reluctance to revisit settled rights without a direct challenge. Key balancers include conservative justices' deference to stare decisis and Democratic midterm momentum potential. Watch 2025 state ballot fights, like Tennessee's ban efforts, and the October SCOTUS term for circuit splits that could prompt review—any adverse ruling might swing odds decisively toward "No."
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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