Scottie Scheffler's two green jackets from 2022 and 2024 plus his near-three-year reign as world No. 1 underpin his 14.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite, but the market's tight clustering atop reflects a deep, balanced Masters field with proven Augusta performers. Defending champion Rory McIlroy sits at 6.5% despite recent back spasms prompting a pre-Masters withdrawal, while Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) draw support from LIV Golf momentum and major pedigrees ideally matching Augusta's demands for power and precision. Scheffler's family-related Houston Open opt-out, McIlroy's uneven Genesis T2 finish, and the Valero Texas Open tune-up—featuring minor withdrawals like Collin Morikawa's—signal caution, preserving upset potential in this unpredictable major.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourScottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$63,445,131 Vol.
$63,445,131 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Akshay Bhatia
3%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.3%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$63,445,131 Vol.
$63,445,131 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Akshay Bhatia
3%
Min Woo Lee
2%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Shane Lowry
1%
Russell Henley
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's two green jackets from 2022 and 2024 plus his near-three-year reign as world No. 1 underpin his 14.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite, but the market's tight clustering atop reflects a deep, balanced Masters field with proven Augusta performers. Defending champion Rory McIlroy sits at 6.5% despite recent back spasms prompting a pre-Masters withdrawal, while Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) draw support from LIV Golf momentum and major pedigrees ideally matching Augusta's demands for power and precision. Scheffler's family-related Houston Open opt-out, McIlroy's uneven Genesis T2 finish, and the Valero Texas Open tune-up—featuring minor withdrawals like Collin Morikawa's—signal caution, preserving upset potential in this unpredictable major.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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