Scottie Scheffler's world No. 1 status and elite Augusta National course history—highlighted by two green jacket wins in the last three years, superior par-5 scoring, and scrambling—drive his trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability, bolstered by steady recent PGA Tour form amid a finalized 93-player field. Yet the race stays tight with Bryson DeChambeau's scorching LIV momentum (back-to-back wins, including a playoff over Rahm) at 7.5%, Jon Rahm's past champion pedigree and LIV points lead at 7.4%, and defending champion Rory McIlroy's eight top-10s in his last 12 Masters starts at 6.5%, underscoring a deep, experienced contender pool where precision irons and Amen Corner nerves will decide the outcome under mild weather forecasts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourScottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$62,494,292 Vol.
$62,494,292 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$62,494,292 Vol.
$62,494,292 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Cameron Young
4%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Corey Conners
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Jason Day
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Max Homa
1%
Sahith Theegala
1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Will Zalatoris
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler's world No. 1 status and elite Augusta National course history—highlighted by two green jacket wins in the last three years, superior par-5 scoring, and scrambling—drive his trader consensus lead at 14.5% implied probability, bolstered by steady recent PGA Tour form amid a finalized 93-player field. Yet the race stays tight with Bryson DeChambeau's scorching LIV momentum (back-to-back wins, including a playoff over Rahm) at 7.5%, Jon Rahm's past champion pedigree and LIV points lead at 7.4%, and defending champion Rory McIlroy's eight top-10s in his last 12 Masters starts at 6.5%, underscoring a deep, experienced contender pool where precision irons and Amen Corner nerves will decide the outcome under mild weather forecasts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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