Scottie Scheffler holds a narrow trader consensus edge at 14.5% implied probability as world No. 1 with strong Augusta course history and elite ball-striking—key for Masters success—bolstered by his early 2026 American Express victory and ongoing top-10 streak, though his last-minute withdrawal from the Texas Children's Houston Open for family reasons skipped a final tune-up. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) surged after DeChambeau's emotional back-to-back LIV Golf wins, including a playoff duel over Rahm at South Africa last weekend, showcasing their power game suited to Augusta's demands. Matt Fitzpatrick's (4.5%) Valspar Championship triumph adds momentum, while Rory McIlroy's (6.5%) grand slam pursuit keeps the field tightly contested amid widespread strong strokes-gained tee-to-green form among top contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourScottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,700,029 Vol.
$61,700,029 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Jason Day
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Max Homa
1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,700,029 Vol.
$61,700,029 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
5%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Robert MacIntyre
2%
Justin Thomas
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Jason Day
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Max Homa
1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler holds a narrow trader consensus edge at 14.5% implied probability as world No. 1 with strong Augusta course history and elite ball-striking—key for Masters success—bolstered by his early 2026 American Express victory and ongoing top-10 streak, though his last-minute withdrawal from the Texas Children's Houston Open for family reasons skipped a final tune-up. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) surged after DeChambeau's emotional back-to-back LIV Golf wins, including a playoff duel over Rahm at South Africa last weekend, showcasing their power game suited to Augusta's demands. Matt Fitzpatrick's (4.5%) Valspar Championship triumph adds momentum, while Rory McIlroy's (6.5%) grand slam pursuit keeps the field tightly contested amid widespread strong strokes-gained tee-to-green form among top contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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