Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin duel between World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz and No. 2 Jannik Sinner for 2026 Wimbledon supremacy, with both hovering around 36% implied probabilities amid their dominance in recent Masters 1000 events. Sinner's Indian Wells title over Daniil Medvedev and march to the Miami Open final—defeating Frances Tiafoe en route—have solidified his grass-court upside, despite limited major wins on the surface, while Alcaraz's perfect 14-0 start to 2026 yielded to semifinal and early-round exits at Indian Wells and Miami against Sebastian Korda, respectively. Novak Djokovic's third-place ranking belies early upsets like his Indian Wells loss to Jack Draper and Miami withdrawal, capping him at 7.3% amid age-related concerns, leaving the top duo's head-to-head form and transition to grass as pivotal dynamics keeping odds bunched.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourCarlos Alcaraz 37%
Jannik Sinner 36%
Novak Djokovic 7.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.5%
$2,576,545 Vol.
$2,576,545 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
37%
Jannik Sinner
36%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Jack Draper
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
João Fonseca
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
Carlos Alcaraz 37%
Jannik Sinner 36%
Novak Djokovic 7.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.5%
$2,576,545 Vol.
$2,576,545 Vol.
Carlos Alcaraz
37%
Jannik Sinner
36%
Novak Djokovic
7%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Jack Draper
2%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
João Fonseca
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Gabriel Diallo
1%
Jiří Lehečka
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Jakub Menšík
1%
Ugo Humbert
1%
Alex de Minaur
1%
Félix Auger-Aliassime
1%
Stefanos Tsitsipas
1%
Andrey Rublev
<1%
Arthur Fils
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
<1%
Flavio Cobolli
<1%
Marin Čilić
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Casper Ruud
<1%
Alex Michelsen
<1%
Tommy Paul
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Alexei Popyrin
<1%
Sebastian Korda
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Cameron Norrie
<1%
Tallon Griekspoor
<1%
Francisco Cerúndolo
<1%
Karen Khachanov
<1%
Tomáš Macháč
<1%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
<1%
Lorenzo Sonego
<1%
Nicolás Jarry
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 2, 2026, 2:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Wimbledon Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a razor-thin duel between World No. 1 Carlos Alcaraz and No. 2 Jannik Sinner for 2026 Wimbledon supremacy, with both hovering around 36% implied probabilities amid their dominance in recent Masters 1000 events. Sinner's Indian Wells title over Daniil Medvedev and march to the Miami Open final—defeating Frances Tiafoe en route—have solidified his grass-court upside, despite limited major wins on the surface, while Alcaraz's perfect 14-0 start to 2026 yielded to semifinal and early-round exits at Indian Wells and Miami against Sebastian Korda, respectively. Novak Djokovic's third-place ranking belies early upsets like his Indian Wells loss to Jack Draper and Miami withdrawal, capping him at 7.3% amid age-related concerns, leaving the top duo's head-to-head form and transition to grass as pivotal dynamics keeping odds bunched.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes