The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team format and group stage schedule create varied opportunities for individual goal markets, with outcomes driven by a player's starting role, team attacking volume, and fixture difficulty. Early tournament results show established scorers like Lionel Messi (hat-trick vs. Algeria), Kylian Mbappé, Erling Haaland, and Harry Kane quickly converting chances for their sides, tightening implied probabilities for those names while keeping doors open for depth options. Key variables include recent form, injury reports from national camps, minutes restrictions, and stylistic matchups against organized defenses; teams advancing deep or facing weaker groups boost volume for their forwards and attacking midfielders. Weather, pitch conditions in North American venues, and potential extra time in knockouts add further variance for remaining fixtures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1,535,700 Vol.
Federico Valverde
No
Bruno Fernandes
No
Julián Álvarez
Yes
Rodri
No
Raphinha
No
Lionel Messi
Yes
João Neves
Yes
Jude Bellingham
Yes
Declan Rice
Yes
Moisés Caicedo
No
Gabriel Magalhães
No
Florian Wirtz
No
Luis Díaz
Yes
Antoine Semenyo
No
Aurélien Tchouaméni
No
Lautaro Martínez
Yes
Bukayo Saka
Yes
Virgil van Dijk
Yes
Joshua Kimmich
No
Alphonso Davies
No
Bernardo Silva
No
Jamal Musiala
Yes
Cole Palmer
No
Luka Modrić
No
Nuno Mendes
Yes
Denzel Dumfries
No
Kevin De Bruyne
Yes
Désiré Doué
Yes
Jérémy Doku
No
Cristiano Ronaldo
Yes
Rayan Cherki
No
Antonio Rüdiger
No
N'Golo Kanté
No
Tijjani Reijnders
No
Rúben Dias
No
Bruno Guimarães
No
Frenkie de Jong
No
Marc Cucurella
No
Pedri
No
Ousmane Dembélé
Yes
Trent Alexander-Arnold
No
Vitinha
No
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
No
Robert Lewandowski
No
Michael Olise
No
David Raya
No
Sadio Mané
No
Martin Zubimendi
No
Nico Williams
No
Enzo Fernández
Yes
Martin Ødegaard
No
William Pacho
No
Scott McTominay
No
Ryan Gravenberch
No
Mohamed Salah
Yes
Fermín López
No
Cody Gakpo
Yes
Joško Gvardiol
No
Ibrahima Konaté
No
Pau Cubarsí
No
Marquinhos
No
William Saliba
No
João Pedro
No
Ismaïla Sarr
Yes
Rafael Leão
Yes
Alexis Mac Allister
Yes
Weston McKennie
No
Gabriel Martinelli
Yes
João Cancelo
No
Dani Olmo
No
Viktor Gyökeres
Yes
Arda Güler
Yes
Christian Pulisic
No
Jules Koundé
No
Son Heung-min
No
Reece James
No
Jeremie Frimpong
No
Marc Guéhi
No
Fabián Ruiz
Yes
Casemiro
Yes
Mikel Merino
Yes
Eberechi Eze
No
Kenan Yıldız
No
Raúl Jiménez
Yes
Gonçalo Ramos
Yes
Mikel Oyarzabal
Yes
Marcus Thuram
No
Kaoru Mitoma
No
Phil Foden
No
Lisandro Martínez
Yes
Bradley Barcola
Yes
Kim Min-jae
No
Alexander Isak
Yes
Pervis Estupiñán
No
Dan Ndoye
Yes
Granit Xhaka
Yes
Noah Okafor
No
Breel Embolo
Yes
Abdulaziz Hatem
No
Ahmed Fathi
No
Matheus Cunha
Yes
Igor Thiago
No
Endrick
No
Brahim Díaz
No
Wilson Isidor
Yes
Josué Casimir
No
Che Adams
No
Folarin Balogun
Yes
Ricardo Pepi
No
Julio Enciso
Yes
Miguel Almirón
No
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
No
Kai Havertz
Yes
Nick Woltemade
No
Lennart Kahl
No
Leroy Sané
Yes
Tahith Chong
No
Amad Diallo
Yes
Yann Bisseck
No
Nicolas Pépé
Yes
Ibrahim Sangaré
No
Teun Koopmeiners
No
Memphis Depay
No
Donyell Malen
No
Keito Nakamura
Yes
Takefusa Kubo
No
Anthony Elanga
Yes
Khalil Ayari
No
Charles De Ketelaere
Yes
Romelu Lukaku
Yes
Leandro Trossard
Yes
Omar Marmoush
No
Haissem Hassan
No
Chris Wood
No
Ferran Torres
Yes
Gavi
No
Iliman Ndiaye
Yes
Alexander Sørloth
No
Oscar Bobb
No
Emiliano Buendía
No
Marcel Sabitzer
Yes
Carney Chukwuemeka
No
Pedro Neto
No
Yoane Wissa
Yes
Luis Suárez
No
James Rodríguez
No
Marcus Rashford
Yes
Ivan Perišić
Yes
Mateo Kovačić
No
Iñaki Williams
No
Ismael Díaz
No
Neymar Jr.
Yes
Luis Javier Suárez
No
Darwin Nunez
No
$1,535,700 Vol.
Federico Valverde
No
Bruno Fernandes
No
Julián Álvarez
Yes
Rodri
No
Raphinha
No
Lionel Messi
Yes
João Neves
Yes
Jude Bellingham
Yes
Declan Rice
Yes
Moisés Caicedo
No
Gabriel Magalhães
No
Florian Wirtz
No
Luis Díaz
Yes
Antoine Semenyo
No
Aurélien Tchouaméni
No
Lautaro Martínez
Yes
Bukayo Saka
Yes
Virgil van Dijk
Yes
Joshua Kimmich
No
Alphonso Davies
No
Bernardo Silva
No
Jamal Musiala
Yes
Cole Palmer
No
Luka Modrić
No
Nuno Mendes
Yes
Denzel Dumfries
No
Kevin De Bruyne
Yes
Désiré Doué
Yes
Jérémy Doku
No
Cristiano Ronaldo
Yes
Rayan Cherki
No
Antonio Rüdiger
No
N'Golo Kanté
No
Tijjani Reijnders
No
Rúben Dias
No
Bruno Guimarães
No
Frenkie de Jong
No
Marc Cucurella
No
Pedri
No
Ousmane Dembélé
Yes
Trent Alexander-Arnold
No
Vitinha
No
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
No
Robert Lewandowski
No
Michael Olise
No
David Raya
No
Sadio Mané
No
Martin Zubimendi
No
Nico Williams
No
Enzo Fernández
Yes
Martin Ødegaard
No
William Pacho
No
Scott McTominay
No
Ryan Gravenberch
No
Mohamed Salah
Yes
Fermín López
No
Cody Gakpo
Yes
Joško Gvardiol
No
Ibrahima Konaté
No
Pau Cubarsí
No
Marquinhos
No
William Saliba
No
João Pedro
No
Ismaïla Sarr
Yes
Rafael Leão
Yes
Alexis Mac Allister
Yes
Weston McKennie
No
Gabriel Martinelli
Yes
João Cancelo
No
Dani Olmo
No
Viktor Gyökeres
Yes
Arda Güler
Yes
Christian Pulisic
No
Jules Koundé
No
Son Heung-min
No
Reece James
No
Jeremie Frimpong
No
Marc Guéhi
No
Fabián Ruiz
Yes
Casemiro
Yes
Mikel Merino
Yes
Eberechi Eze
No
Kenan Yıldız
No
Raúl Jiménez
Yes
Gonçalo Ramos
Yes
Mikel Oyarzabal
Yes
Marcus Thuram
No
Kaoru Mitoma
No
Phil Foden
No
Lisandro Martínez
Yes
Bradley Barcola
Yes
Kim Min-jae
No
Alexander Isak
Yes
Pervis Estupiñán
No
Dan Ndoye
Yes
Granit Xhaka
Yes
Noah Okafor
No
Breel Embolo
Yes
Abdulaziz Hatem
No
Ahmed Fathi
No
Matheus Cunha
Yes
Igor Thiago
No
Endrick
No
Brahim Díaz
No
Wilson Isidor
Yes
Josué Casimir
No
Che Adams
No
Folarin Balogun
Yes
Ricardo Pepi
No
Julio Enciso
Yes
Miguel Almirón
No
Hakan Çalhanoğlu
No
Kai Havertz
Yes
Nick Woltemade
No
Lennart Kahl
No
Leroy Sané
Yes
Tahith Chong
No
Amad Diallo
Yes
Yann Bisseck
No
Nicolas Pépé
Yes
Ibrahim Sangaré
No
Teun Koopmeiners
No
Memphis Depay
No
Donyell Malen
No
Keito Nakamura
Yes
Takefusa Kubo
No
Anthony Elanga
Yes
Khalil Ayari
No
Charles De Ketelaere
Yes
Romelu Lukaku
Yes
Leandro Trossard
Yes
Omar Marmoush
No
Haissem Hassan
No
Chris Wood
No
Ferran Torres
Yes
Gavi
No
Iliman Ndiaye
Yes
Alexander Sørloth
No
Oscar Bobb
No
Emiliano Buendía
No
Marcel Sabitzer
Yes
Carney Chukwuemeka
No
Pedro Neto
No
Yoane Wissa
Yes
Luis Suárez
No
James Rodríguez
No
Marcus Rashford
Yes
Ivan Perišić
Yes
Mateo Kovačić
No
Iñaki Williams
No
Ismael Díaz
No
Neymar Jr.
Yes
Luis Javier Suárez
No
Darwin Nunez
No
A goal scored during regular time, stoppage time, and extra time will be considered. No goal scored by way of own goal or penalty shootout will be considered. A goal scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, and extra time will count toward a “Yes” resolution.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined if the listed player scored a goal during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: May 28, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
A goal scored during regular time, stoppage time, and extra time will be considered. No goal scored by way of own goal or penalty shootout will be considered. A goal scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, and extra time will count toward a “Yes” resolution.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined if the listed player scored a goal during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The 2026 FIFA World Cup's expanded 48-team format and group stage schedule create varied opportunities for individual goal markets, with outcomes driven by a player's starting role, team attacking volume, and fixture difficulty. Early tournament results show established scorers like Lionel Messi (hat-trick vs. Algeria), Kylian Mbappé, Erling Haaland, and Harry Kane quickly converting chances for their sides, tightening implied probabilities for those names while keeping doors open for depth options. Key variables include recent form, injury reports from national camps, minutes restrictions, and stylistic matchups against organized defenses; teams advancing deep or facing weaker groups boost volume for their forwards and attacking midfielders. Weather, pitch conditions in North American venues, and potential extra time in knockouts add further variance for remaining fixtures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions