Mumbai Indians top trader consensus at 23.5% implied probability for the 2026 IPL title after retaining a powerhouse core—Hardik Pandya, Rohit Sharma, Suryakumar Yadav, and Jasprit Bumrah—for over ₹67 crore, bolstering their five-time champion pedigree amid recent playoff struggles. Royal Challengers Bengaluru sit at 14% banking on Virat Kohli's retention alongside uncapped talents, fueling hopes post their 2024 Eliminator exit. Punjab Kings' 11% reflects the league's largest auction purse after lean retentions of Arshdeep Singh, Shashank Singh, and Prabhsimran Singh, priming a rebuild. CSK and GT tie at 10.5% with Jadeja/Pathirana and Gill/Rashid anchors, but the November 24-25 mega auction in Jeddah looms to redistribute talent across this wide-open T20 field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMumbai Indians 24%
Royal Challengers Bengaluru 15%
Punjab Kings 11%
Gujarat Titans 11%
$74,441 Vol.
$74,441 Vol.
Mumbai Indians
24%
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
15%
Punjab Kings
11%
Gujarat Titans
11%
Chennai Super Kings
11%
Sunrisers Hyderabad
10%
Kolkata Knight Riders
7%
Delhi Capitals
6%
Rajasthan Royals
6%
Lucknow Super Giants
6%
Mumbai Indians 24%
Royal Challengers Bengaluru 15%
Punjab Kings 11%
Gujarat Titans 11%
$74,441 Vol.
$74,441 Vol.
Mumbai Indians
24%
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
15%
Punjab Kings
11%
Gujarat Titans
11%
Chennai Super Kings
11%
Sunrisers Hyderabad
10%
Kolkata Knight Riders
7%
Delhi Capitals
6%
Rajasthan Royals
6%
Lucknow Super Giants
6%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Indian Premier League.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Indian Premier League based on the rules of the competition (e.g., they do not advance to the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 Indian Premier League season is permanently canceled or there is otherwise no winner declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be the IPL (https://www.iplt20.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 25, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Indian Premier League.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Indian Premier League based on the rules of the competition (e.g., they do not advance to the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 Indian Premier League season is permanently canceled or there is otherwise no winner declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be the IPL (https://www.iplt20.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mumbai Indians top trader consensus at 23.5% implied probability for the 2026 IPL title after retaining a powerhouse core—Hardik Pandya, Rohit Sharma, Suryakumar Yadav, and Jasprit Bumrah—for over ₹67 crore, bolstering their five-time champion pedigree amid recent playoff struggles. Royal Challengers Bengaluru sit at 14% banking on Virat Kohli's retention alongside uncapped talents, fueling hopes post their 2024 Eliminator exit. Punjab Kings' 11% reflects the league's largest auction purse after lean retentions of Arshdeep Singh, Shashank Singh, and Prabhsimran Singh, priming a rebuild. CSK and GT tie at 10.5% with Jadeja/Pathirana and Gill/Rashid anchors, but the November 24-25 mega auction in Jeddah looms to redistribute talent across this wide-open T20 field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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