Petr Yan's dominant 87.5% implied probability as Merab Dvalishvili's next opponent stems from both fighters' recent confirmations of a guaranteed UFC bantamweight title trilogy bout, following Yan's unanimous decision victory over Dvalishvili to reclaim the belt at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili stated the promotion promised him an immediate rematch after recovery, with Yan echoing that it's locked in for summer 2026, potentially UFC 331 in mid-August. Trader consensus prices reflect this skin-in-the-game alignment with official rhetoric and trilogy momentum, pricing Umar Nurmagomedov second at 23.1% amid his contender rise. Challenges could arise from injury setbacks, Dvalishvili withdrawal, or UFC pivoting to rankings-fresh matchups like Song Yadong if negotiations stall.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoPetr Yan 88%
Umar Nurmagomedov 23.1%
Alexander Volkanovski 6.7%
Alexandre Pantoja 1.8%
$11,089 Vol.
$11,089 Vol.
Petr Yan
88%
Umar Nurmagomedov
23%
Alexander Volkanovski
7%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Rob Font
9%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Payton Talbott
<1%
Sean O'Malley
7%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Song Yadong
6%
Petr Yan 88%
Umar Nurmagomedov 23.1%
Alexander Volkanovski 6.7%
Alexandre Pantoja 1.8%
$11,089 Vol.
$11,089 Vol.
Petr Yan
88%
Umar Nurmagomedov
23%
Alexander Volkanovski
7%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Rob Font
9%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Ricky Simón
<1%
Payton Talbott
<1%
Sean O'Malley
7%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Song Yadong
6%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan's dominant 87.5% implied probability as Merab Dvalishvili's next opponent stems from both fighters' recent confirmations of a guaranteed UFC bantamweight title trilogy bout, following Yan's unanimous decision victory over Dvalishvili to reclaim the belt at UFC 323 in December 2025. Dvalishvili stated the promotion promised him an immediate rematch after recovery, with Yan echoing that it's locked in for summer 2026, potentially UFC 331 in mid-August. Trader consensus prices reflect this skin-in-the-game alignment with official rhetoric and trilogy momentum, pricing Umar Nurmagomedov second at 23.1% amid his contender rise. Challenges could arise from injury setbacks, Dvalishvili withdrawal, or UFC pivoting to rankings-fresh matchups like Song Yadong if negotiations stall.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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