Trader consensus favors Petr Yan at 45% implied probability to hold the UFC bantamweight title through 2026, driven by his late-2025 title reclamation—his third undisputed reign—and current four-fight win streak, reinforced by recent training camp updates signaling strong title defense prospects amid a thin immediate contender slate. Umar Nurmagomedov trails at 26% as the top-ranked challenger after a dominant January decision over ex-flyweight king Deiveson Figueiredo, building on his competitive UFC 311 title bid against prior champ Merab Dvalishvili. Dvalishvili lingers at 23% despite vacating the belt for a new promotion post-three 2025 defenses, while Aiemann Zahabi's 22.6% reflects his #6 ranking, 14-2 record, and stylistic edge in upcoming tests like a June clash with Sean O'Malley, highlighting the division's open path with no defenses announced yet.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoPetr Yan 32%
Aiemann Zahabi 22.6%
Sean O'Malley 14%
Merab Dvalishvili 13%
$284,002 Vol.
$284,002 Vol.
Petr Yan
45%
Aiemann Zahabi
23%
Sean O'Malley
14%
Merab Dvalishvili
20%
Umar Nurmagomedov
26%
Cory Sandhagen
3%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Song Yadong
1%
Mario Bautista
1%
Marlon Vera
1%
David Martínez
<1%
Petr Yan 32%
Aiemann Zahabi 22.6%
Sean O'Malley 14%
Merab Dvalishvili 13%
$284,002 Vol.
$284,002 Vol.
Petr Yan
45%
Aiemann Zahabi
23%
Sean O'Malley
14%
Merab Dvalishvili
20%
Umar Nurmagomedov
26%
Cory Sandhagen
3%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Song Yadong
1%
Mario Bautista
1%
Marlon Vera
1%
David Martínez
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Mercado abierto: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Petr Yan at 45% implied probability to hold the UFC bantamweight title through 2026, driven by his late-2025 title reclamation—his third undisputed reign—and current four-fight win streak, reinforced by recent training camp updates signaling strong title defense prospects amid a thin immediate contender slate. Umar Nurmagomedov trails at 26% as the top-ranked challenger after a dominant January decision over ex-flyweight king Deiveson Figueiredo, building on his competitive UFC 311 title bid against prior champ Merab Dvalishvili. Dvalishvili lingers at 23% despite vacating the belt for a new promotion post-three 2025 defenses, while Aiemann Zahabi's 22.6% reflects his #6 ranking, 14-2 record, and stylistic edge in upcoming tests like a June clash with Sean O'Malley, highlighting the division's open path with no defenses announced yet.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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