Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Attorney General Pam Bondi as the next Trump Cabinet secretary to depart, with 45% implied probability, following reports within the past day that President Trump has discussed firing her amid frustrations over Justice Department leadership and recent controversies including Epstein-related files and a Supreme Court setback. Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer ranks second at 25%, pressured by an inspector general probe into alleged misconduct, travel fraud, and a "toxic" workplace that prompted multiple top aides to resign or be fired in March. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trails at 10% after her key deputy Joe Kent quit over Iran policy differences earlier this month, amid speculation of her being sidelined. These developments follow Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's March removal, highlighting early administration turnover patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoPam Bondi 45.6%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer 25%
Tulsi Gabbard 10.0%
Nadie antes de 2027 7.1%
$2,561,329 Vol.
$2,561,329 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Pam Bondi
46%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
25%
Tulsi Gabbard
10%
Nadie antes de 2027
7%
Pete Hegseth
6%
Marco Rubio
4%
J.D. Vance
1%
Brooke Rollins
1%
Howard Lutnick
1%
Scott Bessent
1%
Lee Zeldin
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
<1%
Linda McMahon
<1%
Susie Wiles
<1%
Jamieson Greer
<1%
Mike Waltz
<1%
Doug Collins
<1%
Russell T. Vought
<1%
Chris Wright
<1%
Sean Duffy
<1%
Doug Burgum
<1%
Scott Turner
<1%
Kelly Loeffler
<1%
John Ratcliffe
<1%
Pam Bondi 45.6%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer 25%
Tulsi Gabbard 10.0%
Nadie antes de 2027 7.1%
$2,561,329 Vol.
$2,561,329 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Pam Bondi
$6,375 Vol.
46%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
$79,093 Vol.
25%
Tulsi Gabbard
$728,497 Vol.
10%
Nadie antes de 2027
$761,246 Vol.
7%
Pete Hegseth
$677,648 Vol.
6%
Marco Rubio
$52,325 Vol.
4%
J.D. Vance
$7,893 Vol.
1%
Brooke Rollins
$7,446 Vol.
1%
Howard Lutnick
$26,943 Vol.
1%
Scott Bessent
$5,205 Vol.
1%
Lee Zeldin
$72,967 Vol.
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$4,408 Vol.
<1%
Linda McMahon
$10,694 Vol.
<1%
Susie Wiles
$5,451 Vol.
<1%
Jamieson Greer
$5,425 Vol.
<1%
Mike Waltz
$5,133 Vol.
<1%
Doug Collins
$3,928 Vol.
<1%
Russell T. Vought
$4,822 Vol.
<1%
Chris Wright
$4,680 Vol.
<1%
Sean Duffy
$68,115 Vol.
<1%
Doug Burgum
$6,741 Vol.
<1%
Scott Turner
$6,196 Vol.
<1%
Kelly Loeffler
$5,257 Vol.
<1%
John Ratcliffe
$4,842 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Attorney General Pam Bondi as the next Trump Cabinet secretary to depart, with 45% implied probability, following reports within the past day that President Trump has discussed firing her amid frustrations over Justice Department leadership and recent controversies including Epstein-related files and a Supreme Court setback. Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer ranks second at 25%, pressured by an inspector general probe into alleged misconduct, travel fraud, and a "toxic" workplace that prompted multiple top aides to resign or be fired in March. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trails at 10% after her key deputy Joe Kent quit over Iran policy differences earlier this month, amid speculation of her being sidelined. These developments follow Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's March removal, highlighting early administration turnover patterns.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
Volumen
$2,561,329Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Attorney General Pam Bondi as the next Trump Cabinet secretary to depart, with 45% implied probability, following reports within the past day that President Trump has discussed firing her amid frustrations over Justice Department leadership and recent controversies including Epstein-related files and a Supreme Court setback. Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer ranks second at 25%, pressured by an inspector general probe into alleged misconduct, travel fraud, and a "toxic" workplace that prompted multiple top aides to resign or be fired in March. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trails at 10% after her key deputy Joe Kent quit over Iran policy differences earlier this month, amid speculation of her being sidelined. These developments follow Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's March removal, highlighting early administration turnover patterns.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volumen
$2,561,329Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Attorney General Pam Bondi as the next Trump Cabinet secretary to depart, with 45% implied probability, following reports within the past day that President Trump has discussed firing her amid frustrations over Justice Department leadership and recent controversies including Epstein-related files and a Supreme Court setback. Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer ranks second at 25%, pressured by an inspector general probe into alleged misconduct, travel fraud, and a "toxic" workplace that prompted multiple top aides to resign or be fired in March. Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard trails at 10% after her key deputy Joe Kent quit over Iran policy differences earlier this month, amid speculation of her being sidelined. These developments follow Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's March removal, highlighting early administration turnover patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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