The ongoing partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now over 70 days since February 14, stems from partisan impasse over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and Border Patrol amid demands for policy reforms like the SAVE Act. Senate Republicans' April 23 passage of a budget resolution (50-48) enables a $70 billion reconciliation bill to bypass filibuster, boosting trader consensus on May 18-24 resolution at 31.5% as committees draft and vote amid House GOP resistance to "skinny" plans. Earlier April 27-May 3 odds (14.9%) reflect hopes for swift House action post-adjournment, but divisions and expiring Trump-ordered pay for TSA agents by early May favor delays; a recent White House Correspondents' Dinner attack has intensified pressure, with House votes or compromise potentially consolidating support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhen will the DHS shutdown end?
When will the DHS shutdown end?
May 18-24 32%
April 27-May 3 15.2%
After July 31 13%
May 11-17 11.7%
$19,694 Vol.
$19,694 Vol.
April 20-26
<1%
April 27-May 3
15%
May 4-10
1%
May 11-17
12%
May 18-24
32%
May 25-31
10%
June 1-7
6%
June 8-14
2%
June 15-21
1%
June 22-28
2%
June 29-July 5
2%
July 6-12
2%
July 13-19
3%
July 20-26
3%
July 27-31
3%
After July 31
13%
May 18-24 32%
April 27-May 3 15.2%
After July 31 13%
May 11-17 11.7%
$19,694 Vol.
$19,694 Vol.
April 20-26
<1%
April 27-May 3
15%
May 4-10
1%
May 11-17
12%
May 18-24
32%
May 25-31
10%
June 1-7
6%
June 8-14
2%
June 15-21
1%
June 22-28
2%
June 29-July 5
2%
July 6-12
2%
July 13-19
3%
July 20-26
3%
July 27-31
3%
After July 31
13%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The ongoing partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now over 70 days since February 14, stems from partisan impasse over immigration enforcement funding for ICE and Border Patrol amid demands for policy reforms like the SAVE Act. Senate Republicans' April 23 passage of a budget resolution (50-48) enables a $70 billion reconciliation bill to bypass filibuster, boosting trader consensus on May 18-24 resolution at 31.5% as committees draft and vote amid House GOP resistance to "skinny" plans. Earlier April 27-May 3 odds (14.9%) reflect hopes for swift House action post-adjournment, but divisions and expiring Trump-ordered pay for TSA agents by early May favor delays; a recent White House Correspondents' Dinner attack has intensified pressure, with House votes or compromise potentially consolidating support.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes