Congressional negotiations over DHS funding remain stalled after House Republicans advanced FY2025 appropriations bills imposing deep spending cuts to agencies like ICE and CBP amid debates over border security measures, while Senate Democrats and the White House defend higher baseline levels without policy riders. With no deal reached before the Easter recess, traders anticipate action upon lawmakers' return around April 9, concentrating probabilities tightly on mid-April windows for a continuing resolution or omnibus passage to avert prolonged uncertainty. The race stays neck-and-neck due to slim GOP House margins, potential filibuster hurdles, and whip counts hinging on moderate defections; breakthrough floor votes or bipartisan side deals could pull ahead earlier slots, while holdouts risk pushing toward late April or beyond.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado9-12 de abril 30%
13-16 de abril 30%
17-20 de abril 30%
Antes del 1 de abril 29%
$11,468 Vol.
$11,468 Vol.
Antes del 1 de abril
29%
1-4 de abril
24%
5-8 de abril
28%
9-12 de abril
30%
13-16 de abril
30%
17-20 de abril
30%
21-24 de abril
29%
25-28 de abril
15%
29-30 de abril
16%
Después del 30 de abril
24%
9-12 de abril 30%
13-16 de abril 30%
17-20 de abril 30%
Antes del 1 de abril 29%
$11,468 Vol.
$11,468 Vol.
Antes del 1 de abril
29%
1-4 de abril
24%
5-8 de abril
28%
9-12 de abril
30%
13-16 de abril
30%
17-20 de abril
30%
21-24 de abril
29%
25-28 de abril
15%
29-30 de abril
16%
Después del 30 de abril
24%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Congressional negotiations over DHS funding remain stalled after House Republicans advanced FY2025 appropriations bills imposing deep spending cuts to agencies like ICE and CBP amid debates over border security measures, while Senate Democrats and the White House defend higher baseline levels without policy riders. With no deal reached before the Easter recess, traders anticipate action upon lawmakers' return around April 9, concentrating probabilities tightly on mid-April windows for a continuing resolution or omnibus passage to avert prolonged uncertainty. The race stays neck-and-neck due to slim GOP House margins, potential filibuster hurdles, and whip counts hinging on moderate defections; breakthrough floor votes or bipartisan side deals could pull ahead earlier slots, while holdouts risk pushing toward late April or beyond.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes