Trader consensus prices a DHS shutdown end closely clustered in early to late April, with Before April 1 at 30% slightly ahead of 25-27% for weekly bins through April 30, signaling high uncertainty over congressional funding timelines. The March 23 continuing resolution extended DHS operations through September 30 but underscored partisan gridlock, as House Republicans demand spending reductions and bolstered border security funding for ICE and CBP amid record migrant encounters, while Senate Democrats defend baseline appropriations. Absent fresh negotiations or committee markups in the past 48 hours, odds stay dispersed; bipartisan deal announcements, floor votes, or another short-term patch could drive separation toward earlier resolution, while impasse risks later dates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAntes del 1 de abril 36%
9-12 de abril 27%
13-16 de abril 27%
17-20 de abril 27%
Antes del 1 de abril
31%
1-4 de abril
27%
5-8 de abril
27%
9-12 de abril
27%
13-16 de abril
27%
17-20 de abril
27%
21-24 de abril
26%
25-28 de abril
26%
29-30 de abril
26%
Después del 30 de abril
27%
Antes del 1 de abril 36%
9-12 de abril 27%
13-16 de abril 27%
17-20 de abril 27%
Antes del 1 de abril
31%
1-4 de abril
27%
5-8 de abril
27%
9-12 de abril
27%
13-16 de abril
27%
17-20 de abril
27%
21-24 de abril
26%
25-28 de abril
26%
29-30 de abril
26%
Después del 30 de abril
27%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a DHS shutdown end closely clustered in early to late April, with Before April 1 at 30% slightly ahead of 25-27% for weekly bins through April 30, signaling high uncertainty over congressional funding timelines. The March 23 continuing resolution extended DHS operations through September 30 but underscored partisan gridlock, as House Republicans demand spending reductions and bolstered border security funding for ICE and CBP amid record migrant encounters, while Senate Democrats defend baseline appropriations. Absent fresh negotiations or committee markups in the past 48 hours, odds stay dispersed; bipartisan deal announcements, floor votes, or another short-term patch could drive separation toward earlier resolution, while impasse risks later dates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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