Trader consensus prices a DHS funding lapse ending anytime in April nearly evenly, with 26.5% odds for April 1-4 or 5-8 leading slight favorites amid stalled congressional appropriations talks. House Republicans advanced a fiscal year 2024 Homeland Security bill last week proposing spending cuts and stricter border security measures, but Senate Democrats rejected it over insufficient funding for ICE, CBP, and FEMA operations, blocking a continuing resolution before the latest deadline. This partisan deadlock keeps probabilities dispersed, as no breakthrough emerged from recent bipartisan leadership meetings. Upcoming House floor votes and potential conference committee formation could accelerate resolution, while further entrenchment risks pushing outcomes later into April.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado1-4 de abril 27%
5-8 de abril 27%
9-12 de abril 26%
13-16 de abril 26%
Antes del 1 de abril
25%
1-4 de abril
27%
5-8 de abril
27%
9-12 de abril
26%
13-16 de abril
26%
17-20 de abril
26%
21-24 de abril
26%
25-28 de abril
26%
29-30 de abril
26%
Después del 30 de abril
26%
1-4 de abril 27%
5-8 de abril 27%
9-12 de abril 26%
13-16 de abril 26%
Antes del 1 de abril
25%
1-4 de abril
27%
5-8 de abril
27%
9-12 de abril
26%
13-16 de abril
26%
17-20 de abril
26%
21-24 de abril
26%
25-28 de abril
26%
29-30 de abril
26%
Después del 30 de abril
26%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices a DHS funding lapse ending anytime in April nearly evenly, with 26.5% odds for April 1-4 or 5-8 leading slight favorites amid stalled congressional appropriations talks. House Republicans advanced a fiscal year 2024 Homeland Security bill last week proposing spending cuts and stricter border security measures, but Senate Democrats rejected it over insufficient funding for ICE, CBP, and FEMA operations, blocking a continuing resolution before the latest deadline. This partisan deadlock keeps probabilities dispersed, as no breakthrough emerged from recent bipartisan leadership meetings. Upcoming House floor votes and potential conference committee formation could accelerate resolution, while further entrenchment risks pushing outcomes later into April.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes