The S&P 500 closed at 6,528.52 on March 31, 2026, reflecting a roughly 5% monthly drop and 9% pullback from its January high of 7,002, as trader consensus priced in heightened geopolitical risks from the Iran war escalation and surging oil prices that stoked reflation concerns. The Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75%, signaling caution on further cuts amid persistent inflation pressures, which lifted Treasury yields and hammered tech valuations amid elevated trading volume. Key swing factors included rising energy costs eroding margins; upcoming Q1 earnings and April nonfarm payrolls data will clarify labor market resilience and recession probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?
¿Qué alcanzará el S&P 500 (SPX) a finales de marzo?
$970,169 Vol.
31 mar 2026
↑ $8,000
No
↑ $7,500
No
↑ $7,300
No
↑ $7,200
No
↑ $7,100
No
↑ $7,000
No
↑ $6,900
No
↑ $6,800
Sí
↓ $6,600
Sí
↓ $6,500
Sí
↓ $6,400
Sí
↓ $6,300
No
↓ $6,200
No
↓ $6,000
No
↓ $5,000
No
$970,169 Vol.
↑ $8,000
$111,490 Vol.
No
↑ $7,500
$43,393 Vol.
No
↑ $7,300
$78,678 Vol.
No
↑ $7,200
$6,586 Vol.
No
↑ $7,100
$51,277 Vol.
No
↑ $7,000
$30,015 Vol.
No
↑ $6,900
$71,048 Vol.
No
↑ $6,800
$0 Vol.
Sí
↓ $6,600
$0 Vol.
Sí
↓ $6,500
$0 Vol.
Sí
↓ $6,400
$73,330 Vol.
Sí
↓ $6,300
$211,096 Vol.
No
↓ $6,200
$52,149 Vol.
No
↓ $6,000
$65,513 Vol.
No
↓ $5,000
$175,595 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 6,528.52 on March 31, 2026, reflecting a roughly 5% monthly drop and 9% pullback from its January high of 7,002, as trader consensus priced in heightened geopolitical risks from the Iran war escalation and surging oil prices that stoked reflation concerns. The Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75%, signaling caution on further cuts amid persistent inflation pressures, which lifted Treasury yields and hammered tech valuations amid elevated trading volume. Key swing factors included rising energy costs eroding margins; upcoming Q1 earnings and April nonfarm payrolls data will clarify labor market resilience and recession probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Mercado abierto: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Volumen
$970,169Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 6,528.52 on March 31, 2026, reflecting a roughly 5% monthly drop and 9% pullback from its January high of 7,002, as trader consensus priced in heightened geopolitical risks from the Iran war escalation and surging oil prices that stoked reflation concerns. The Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75%, signaling caution on further cuts amid persistent inflation pressures, which lifted Treasury yields and hammered tech valuations amid elevated trading volume. Key swing factors included rising energy costs eroding margins; upcoming Q1 earnings and April nonfarm payrolls data will clarify labor market resilience and recession probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$970,169Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The S&P 500 closed at 6,528.52 on March 31, 2026, reflecting a roughly 5% monthly drop and 9% pullback from its January high of 7,002, as trader consensus priced in heightened geopolitical risks from the Iran war escalation and surging oil prices that stoked reflation concerns. The Federal Reserve's March 18 FOMC meeting held the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75%, signaling caution on further cuts amid persistent inflation pressures, which lifted Treasury yields and hammered tech valuations amid elevated trading volume. Key swing factors included rising energy costs eroding margins; upcoming Q1 earnings and April nonfarm payrolls data will clarify labor market resilience and recession probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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