England's 35% implied probability edges Spain's 32.5% in the race for UEFA Champions League champion's home country, with Germany's 20% close behind, as quarterfinal first-leg results produced tight ties that keep multiple powerhouses alive. Arsenal's 2-2 home draw with Bayern Munich and Manchester City's 3-3 thriller at Real Madrid preserve England's duo, while Spain boasts three survivors—Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid (2-1 edge over Dortmund), and Barcelona (3-2 over PSG)—bolstered by domestic La Liga depth. Germany's Bayern and Dortmund remain viable despite uneven Bundesliga form, reflecting trader consensus on knockout volatility where second legs on April 16-17 could reshape paths to the semifinals amid injury uncertainties like Rodri's absence for City.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoUEFA Champions League: país de origen del campeón
UEFA Champions League: país de origen del campeón
England 34%
Spain 28%
Germany 26%
France 12%
$42,520 Vol.
$42,520 Vol.
England
34%
Spain
28%
Germany
26%
France
12%
Norway
5%
Turkey
2%
Portugal
<1%
Italy
<1%
England 34%
Spain 28%
Germany 26%
France 12%
$42,520 Vol.
$42,520 Vol.
England
34%
Spain
28%
Germany
26%
France
12%
Norway
5%
Turkey
2%
Portugal
<1%
Italy
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for any club from the listed country to win the UEFA Champions League (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 UEFA Champions League champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 10, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...England's 35% implied probability edges Spain's 32.5% in the race for UEFA Champions League champion's home country, with Germany's 20% close behind, as quarterfinal first-leg results produced tight ties that keep multiple powerhouses alive. Arsenal's 2-2 home draw with Bayern Munich and Manchester City's 3-3 thriller at Real Madrid preserve England's duo, while Spain boasts three survivors—Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid (2-1 edge over Dortmund), and Barcelona (3-2 over PSG)—bolstered by domestic La Liga depth. Germany's Bayern and Dortmund remain viable despite uneven Bundesliga form, reflecting trader consensus on knockout volatility where second legs on April 16-17 could reshape paths to the semifinals amid injury uncertainties like Rodri's absence for City.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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