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Deportes·Copa Del Mundo

¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?

Market icon
Deportes·Copa Del Mundo

¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?

Europa 70%

Sudamérica 22%

África 4.0%

América del Norte 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,299,417 Vol.

Europa 70%

Sudamérica 22%

África 4.0%

América del Norte 2.4%

Polymarket

$1,299,417 Vol.

Europa

$39,791 Vol.

70%

Sudamérica

$21,275 Vol.

22%

África

$909,139 Vol.

4%

América del Norte

$156,384 Vol.

2%

Asia

$0 Vol.

2%

Oceanía

$172,830 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's unmatched depth and historical dominance with 12 titles, bolstered by Spain's Euro 2024 victory and strong early qualifier results from powerhouses like France, England, and Germany amid competitive group standings. South America's 21.5% reflects CONMEBOL's pedigree—10 past winners including Argentina's recent Copa América repeat—despite Brazil's uneven qualifying form. Lower odds for Africa (4%), North America (2.4% despite hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) stem from no prior champions and inconsistent performances in CAF, CONCACAF, AFC, and OFC qualifiers, though the expanded 48-team format offers slight upset potential. Recent October internationals reinforced European and South American edges without major shifts.

This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.

For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,299,417
Mercado abierto
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent). The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's unmatched depth and historical dominance with 12 titles, bolstered by Spain's Euro 2024 victory and strong early qualifier results from powerhouses like France, England, and Germany amid competitive group standings. South America's 21.5% reflects CONMEBOL's pedigree—10 past winners including Argentina's recent Copa América repeat—despite Brazil's uneven qualifying form. Lower odds for Africa (4%), North America (2.4% despite hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) stem from no prior champions and inconsistent performances in CAF, CONCACAF, AFC, and OFC qualifiers, though the expanded 48-team format offers slight upset potential. Recent October internationals reinforced European and South American edges without major shifts.

Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 69.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's unmatched depth and historical dominance with 12 titles, bolstered by Spain's Euro 2024 victory and strong early qualifier results from powerhouses like France, England, and Germany amid competitive group standings. South America's 21.5% reflects CONMEBOL's pedigree—10 past winners including Argentina's recent Copa América repeat—despite Brazil's uneven qualifying form. Lower odds for Africa (4%), North America (2.4% despite hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), Asia (2.1%), and Oceania (0.4%) stem from no prior champions and inconsistent performances in CAF, CONCACAF, AFC, and OFC qualifiers, though the expanded 48-team format offers slight upset potential. Recent October internationals reinforced European and South American edges without major shifts.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Europa" con 70%, seguido de "Sudamérica" con 22%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 70¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?" ha generado $1.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 8, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?" es "Europa" con 70%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sudamérica" con 22%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué continente ganará la Copa Mundial de la FIFA 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.