Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its opening weekend (82% implied probability), driven by modest $1 million Thursday previews and a soft $2.3–2.4 million Friday from 2,778 screens, well below initial $6–10 million tracking estimates. New Line's Zazie Beetz-led horror-action flick faces stiff competition from Ryan Gosling's dominant "Project Hail Mary" eyeing a $53 million second weekend, limiting its breakout potential despite some buzz for its over-the-top gore and chaotic energy in early reviews. Mixed critical reception, including derivative complaints from RogerEbert.com, has tempered audience turnout amid a crowded spring slate. Final tallies lock Sunday, with word-of-mouth a slim upside catalyst for the 5–6 million range (12.5%).
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
<5m 87%
5-6m 8%
7-8m <1%
6-7m <1%
$132,100 Vol.
$132,100 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
87%
5-6m
8%
6-7m
1%
7-8m
1%
>8m
<1%
<5m 87%
5-6m 8%
7-8m <1%
6-7m <1%
$132,100 Vol.
$132,100 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
$36,806 Vol.
87%
5-6m
$16,286 Vol.
8%
6-7m
$18,675 Vol.
1%
7-8m
$13,619 Vol.
1%
>8m
$47,013 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its opening weekend (82% implied probability), driven by modest $1 million Thursday previews and a soft $2.3–2.4 million Friday from 2,778 screens, well below initial $6–10 million tracking estimates. New Line's Zazie Beetz-led horror-action flick faces stiff competition from Ryan Gosling's dominant "Project Hail Mary" eyeing a $53 million second weekend, limiting its breakout potential despite some buzz for its over-the-top gore and chaotic energy in early reviews. Mixed critical reception, including derivative complaints from RogerEbert.com, has tempered audience turnout amid a crowded spring slate. Final tallies lock Sunday, with word-of-mouth a slim upside catalyst for the 5–6 million range (12.5%).
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Volumen
$132,100Fecha de finalización
Mar 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its opening weekend (82% implied probability), driven by modest $1 million Thursday previews and a soft $2.3–2.4 million Friday from 2,778 screens, well below initial $6–10 million tracking estimates. New Line's Zazie Beetz-led horror-action flick faces stiff competition from Ryan Gosling's dominant "Project Hail Mary" eyeing a $53 million second weekend, limiting its breakout potential despite some buzz for its over-the-top gore and chaotic energy in early reviews. Mixed critical reception, including derivative complaints from RogerEbert.com, has tempered audience turnout amid a crowded spring slate. Final tallies lock Sunday, with word-of-mouth a slim upside catalyst for the 5–6 million range (12.5%).
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$132,100Fecha de finalización
Mar 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its opening weekend (82% implied probability), driven by modest $1 million Thursday previews and a soft $2.3–2.4 million Friday from 2,778 screens, well below initial $6–10 million tracking estimates. New Line's Zazie Beetz-led horror-action flick faces stiff competition from Ryan Gosling's dominant "Project Hail Mary" eyeing a $53 million second weekend, limiting its breakout potential despite some buzz for its over-the-top gore and chaotic energy in early reviews. Mixed critical reception, including derivative complaints from RogerEbert.com, has tempered audience turnout amid a crowded spring slate. Final tallies lock Sunday, with word-of-mouth a slim upside catalyst for the 5–6 million range (12.5%).
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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