Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "They Will Kill You" under $5 million for its opening weekend at 86.5% implied probability, driven by disappointing early box office returns amid stiff competition from "Project Hail Mary"'s dominant second-frame hold eyeing $45-53 million. The Warner Bros. horror-action-comedy earned just $1 million in Thursday previews and $2.3-2.4 million on Friday from 2,778 theaters—a per-screen average below $900 signaling weak audience turnout despite Zazie Beetz's star draw and a fresh 67% Rotten Tomatoes score. Mixed critical reception highlighting repetitive structure and lack of franchise buzz has curbed walk-ups, with final weekend tallies expected Sunday positioning 5-6 million as the next viable outcome at 12.5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
<5m 87%
5-6m 13%
7-8m 1.3%
6-7m <1%
$117,938 Vol.
$117,938 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
87%
5-6m
13%
6-7m
1%
7-8m
1%
>8m
<1%
<5m 87%
5-6m 13%
7-8m 1.3%
6-7m <1%
$117,938 Vol.
$117,938 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
$33,153 Vol.
87%
5-6m
$15,002 Vol.
13%
6-7m
$17,266 Vol.
1%
7-8m
$12,787 Vol.
1%
>8m
$39,731 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "They Will Kill You" under $5 million for its opening weekend at 86.5% implied probability, driven by disappointing early box office returns amid stiff competition from "Project Hail Mary"'s dominant second-frame hold eyeing $45-53 million. The Warner Bros. horror-action-comedy earned just $1 million in Thursday previews and $2.3-2.4 million on Friday from 2,778 theaters—a per-screen average below $900 signaling weak audience turnout despite Zazie Beetz's star draw and a fresh 67% Rotten Tomatoes score. Mixed critical reception highlighting repetitive structure and lack of franchise buzz has curbed walk-ups, with final weekend tallies expected Sunday positioning 5-6 million as the next viable outcome at 12.5%.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Volumen
$117,938Fecha de finalización
Mar 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "They Will Kill You" under $5 million for its opening weekend at 86.5% implied probability, driven by disappointing early box office returns amid stiff competition from "Project Hail Mary"'s dominant second-frame hold eyeing $45-53 million. The Warner Bros. horror-action-comedy earned just $1 million in Thursday previews and $2.3-2.4 million on Friday from 2,778 theaters—a per-screen average below $900 signaling weak audience turnout despite Zazie Beetz's star draw and a fresh 67% Rotten Tomatoes score. Mixed critical reception highlighting repetitive structure and lack of franchise buzz has curbed walk-ups, with final weekend tallies expected Sunday positioning 5-6 million as the next viable outcome at 12.5%.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$117,938Fecha de finalización
Mar 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors "They Will Kill You" under $5 million for its opening weekend at 86.5% implied probability, driven by disappointing early box office returns amid stiff competition from "Project Hail Mary"'s dominant second-frame hold eyeing $45-53 million. The Warner Bros. horror-action-comedy earned just $1 million in Thursday previews and $2.3-2.4 million on Friday from 2,778 theaters—a per-screen average below $900 signaling weak audience turnout despite Zazie Beetz's star draw and a fresh 67% Rotten Tomatoes score. Mixed critical reception highlighting repetitive structure and lack of franchise buzz has curbed walk-ups, with final weekend tallies expected Sunday positioning 5-6 million as the next viable outcome at 12.5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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