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Elecciones·Primaria Del Senado

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur

Market icon
Elecciones·Primaria Del Senado

Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur

Mike Rounds 89%

Kristi Noem 4.8%

Justin McNeal 3.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Mike Rounds 89%

Kristi Noem 4.8%

Justin McNeal 3.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Mike Rounds

$3,048 Vol.

89%

Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

5%

Justin McNeal

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Senator Mike Rounds leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability for the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his January formal reelection announcement and strong incumbency advantage in the solidly red state's low-turnout primary, where establishment favorites historically prevail amid limited opposition fundraising and name recognition. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's March 15 campaign launch as a grassroots challenger emphasizing debt reduction and term limits has lifted his odds to 3.2%, reflecting modest early buzz but facing steep barriers against Rounds' entrenched support. Speculation around Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem challenging Rounds persists from February reports but remains at 5.5% without a formal entry, underscoring trader skepticism absent concrete moves before the filing deadline.

Incumbent Senator Mike Rounds leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability for the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his January formal reelection announcement and strong incumbency advantage in the solidly red state's low-turnout primary, where establishment favorites historically prevail amid limited opposition fundraising and name recognition. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's March 15 campaign launch as a grassroots challenger emphasizing debt reduction and term limits has lifted his odds to 3.2%, reflecting modest early buzz but facing steep barriers against Rounds' entrenched support. Speculation around Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem challenging Rounds persists from February reports but remains at 5.5% without a formal entry, underscoring trader skepticism absent concrete moves before the filing deadline.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Dakota. If no 2026 South Dakota Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Senator Mike Rounds leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability for the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his January formal reelection announcement and strong incumbency advantage in the solidly red state's low-turnout primary, where establishment favorites historically prevail amid limited opposition fundraising and name recognition. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's March 15 campaign launch as a grassroots challenger emphasizing debt reduction and term limits has lifted his odds to 3.2%, reflecting modest early buzz but facing steep barriers against Rounds' entrenched support. Speculation around Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem challenging Rounds persists from February reports but remains at 5.5% without a formal entry, underscoring trader skepticism absent concrete moves before the filing deadline.

Incumbent Senator Mike Rounds leads trader consensus at 81.5% implied probability for the South Dakota Republican Senate primary on June 2, driven by his January formal reelection announcement and strong incumbency advantage in the solidly red state's low-turnout primary, where establishment favorites historically prevail amid limited opposition fundraising and name recognition. Navy veteran Justin McNeal's March 15 campaign launch as a grassroots challenger emphasizing debt reduction and term limits has lifted his odds to 3.2%, reflecting modest early buzz but facing steep barriers against Rounds' entrenched support. Speculation around Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem challenging Rounds persists from February reports but remains at 5.5% without a formal entry, underscoring trader skepticism absent concrete moves before the filing deadline.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Mike Rounds" con 89%, seguido de "Kristi Noem" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 89¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 25, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur" es "Mike Rounds" con 89%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 89% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Kristi Noem" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas del Senado de Dakota del Sur" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.