Aaron Judge leads trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP at 36.5% implied probability, buoyed by his third MVP in four years, elite FanGraphs projections for power and plate discipline, and a scorching start with home runs in back-to-back opening games amid a stacked Yankees lineup primed for playoff success. Bobby Witt Jr. follows at 20.5%, leveraging his 2025 top-four finish, five-tool prowess including 30-30 potential, and the Royals' rising contention. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (9.5%) and Julio Rodriguez (8.5%) draw support from contract-year motivations and surface-friendly parks, while Cal Raleigh's (8.0%) catcher power surge reflects breakout momentum; all hinge on health, batting average, home runs, and team win totals in a competitive AL field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoAaron Judge 37%
Bobby Witt Jr. 21%
Cal Raleigh 16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
Aaron Judge
37%
Bobby Witt Jr.
21%
Cal Raleigh
16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Yordan Alvarez
7%
Corey Seager
7%
Mike Trout
6%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Gunnar Henderson
4%
Julio Rodriguez
9%
Aaron Judge 37%
Bobby Witt Jr. 21%
Cal Raleigh 16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 10%
Aaron Judge
37%
Bobby Witt Jr.
21%
Cal Raleigh
16%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
10%
Yordan Alvarez
7%
Corey Seager
7%
Mike Trout
6%
Jose Ramirez
6%
Gunnar Henderson
4%
Julio Rodriguez
9%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge leads trader consensus for 2026 AL MVP at 36.5% implied probability, buoyed by his third MVP in four years, elite FanGraphs projections for power and plate discipline, and a scorching start with home runs in back-to-back opening games amid a stacked Yankees lineup primed for playoff success. Bobby Witt Jr. follows at 20.5%, leveraging his 2025 top-four finish, five-tool prowess including 30-30 potential, and the Royals' rising contention. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (9.5%) and Julio Rodriguez (8.5%) draw support from contract-year motivations and surface-friendly parks, while Cal Raleigh's (8.0%) catcher power surge reflects breakout momentum; all hinge on health, batting average, home runs, and team win totals in a competitive AL field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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