FlightAware data already logs over 6,500 total delays within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, cementing trader consensus at 99.8% odds for exceeding 5,000 and rendering lower bins negligible. This commanding lead stems from the FAA's new safety restrictions slashing San Francisco International Airport arrivals by one-third amid runway repaving, sparking widespread ripple delays, compounded by low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms grounding flights at Northeast hubs like Boston Logan and New York-area airports. Final resolution hinges on FlightAware's noon ET snapshot April 2, where tallies typically climb with late-reporting flights; a rare downward data correction could challenge it, though historical patterns show increases post-midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNumber of US Flights Delayed April 1?
Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?
>5,000 100.0%
<2,000 <1%
2,000-2,500 <1%
2,500-3,000 <1%
$6,804 Vol.
$6,804 Vol.
1 abr 2026
<2,000
No
2,000-2,500
No
2,500-3,000
No
3,000-3,500
No
3,500-4,000
No
4,000-4,500
No
4,500-5,000
No
>5,000
Yes
>5,000 100.0%
<2,000 <1%
2,000-2,500 <1%
2,500-3,000 <1%
$6,804 Vol.
$6,804 Vol.
1 abr 2026
<2,000
$3,136 Vol.
No
2,000-2,500
$612 Vol.
No
2,500-3,000
$343 Vol.
No
3,000-3,500
$343 Vol.
No
3,500-4,000
$897 Vol.
No
4,000-4,500
$343 Vol.
No
4,500-5,000
$373 Vol.
No
>5,000
$759 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware data already logs over 6,500 total delays within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, cementing trader consensus at 99.8% odds for exceeding 5,000 and rendering lower bins negligible. This commanding lead stems from the FAA's new safety restrictions slashing San Francisco International Airport arrivals by one-third amid runway repaving, sparking widespread ripple delays, compounded by low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms grounding flights at Northeast hubs like Boston Logan and New York-area airports. Final resolution hinges on FlightAware's noon ET snapshot April 2, where tallies typically climb with late-reporting flights; a rare downward data correction could challenge it, though historical patterns show increases post-midnight.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$6,804Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware data already logs over 6,500 total delays within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, cementing trader consensus at 99.8% odds for exceeding 5,000 and rendering lower bins negligible. This commanding lead stems from the FAA's new safety restrictions slashing San Francisco International Airport arrivals by one-third amid runway repaving, sparking widespread ripple delays, compounded by low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms grounding flights at Northeast hubs like Boston Logan and New York-area airports. Final resolution hinges on FlightAware's noon ET snapshot April 2, where tallies typically climb with late-reporting flights; a rare downward data correction could challenge it, though historical patterns show increases post-midnight.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$6,804Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
FlightAware data already logs over 6,500 total delays within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, cementing trader consensus at 99.8% odds for exceeding 5,000 and rendering lower bins negligible. This commanding lead stems from the FAA's new safety restrictions slashing San Francisco International Airport arrivals by one-third amid runway repaving, sparking widespread ripple delays, compounded by low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms grounding flights at Northeast hubs like Boston Logan and New York-area airports. Final resolution hinges on FlightAware's noon ET snapshot April 2, where tallies typically climb with late-reporting flights; a rare downward data correction could challenge it, though historical patterns show increases post-midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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