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Política·Aeropuerto

Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

Market icon
Política·Aeropuerto

Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

mar 29

abr 1

mar 29

abr 1

>5,000 98.3%

3,500-4,000 1.6%

3,000-3,500 <1%

4,000-4,500 <1%

Polymarket

$1,971 Vol.

>5,000 98.3%

3,500-4,000 1.6%

3,000-3,500 <1%

4,000-4,500 <1%

Polymarket

$1,971 Vol.

<2,000

$397 Vol.

<1%

2,000-2,500

$612 Vol.

<1%

2,500-3,000

$163 Vol.

<1%

3,000-3,500

$143 Vol.

1%

3,500-4,000

$399 Vol.

2%

4,000-4,500

$143 Vol.

1%

4,500-5,000

$73 Vol.

1%

>5,000

$305 Vol.

98%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Widespread thunderstorms and low clouds across major Northeast hubs like New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Washington-area airports (DCA, IAD), plus impacts in Atlanta (ATL), Denver (DEN), and Texas (IAH), drove extensive arrival and ground delays on April 1, per FAA reports and NAS status updates showing averages up to 148 minutes at LGA. Compounding this, FAA safety measures slashed San Francisco (SFO) arrival rates to 36 per hour amid runway repaving, affecting 25% of flights. FlightAware's preliminary tally of 5,976 delays within, into, or out of the US—checked at noon ET April 2 for resolution—locks in trader consensus at 98% for over 5,000, with only a rare data revision posing a realistic challenge.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$1,971
Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Widespread thunderstorms and low clouds across major Northeast hubs like New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Washington-area airports (DCA, IAD), plus impacts in Atlanta (ATL), Denver (DEN), and Texas (IAH), drove extensive arrival and ground delays on April 1, per FAA reports and NAS status updates showing averages up to 148 minutes at LGA. Compounding this, FAA safety measures slashed San Francisco (SFO) arrival rates to 36 per hour amid runway repaving, affecting 25% of flights. FlightAware's preliminary tally of 5,976 delays within, into, or out of the US—checked at noon ET April 2 for resolution—locks in trader consensus at 98% for over 5,000, with only a rare data revision posing a realistic challenge.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$1,971
Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es ">5,000" con 98%, seguido de "3,500-4,000" con 2%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 1, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" es ">5,000" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "3,500-4,000" con 2%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.