Market icon
Economía·TSA

Number of TSA Passengers March 31?

Market icon
Economía·TSA

Number of TSA Passengers March 31?

mar 31

abr 1

abr 2

abr 3

mar 31

abr 1

abr 2

abr 3

<2.4M 97%

2.6M-2.8M 26.4%

2.4M-2.6M 2%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

Polymarket

$2,886 Vol.

<2.4M 97%

2.6M-2.8M 26.4%

2.4M-2.6M 2%

2.8M-3.0M <1%

Polymarket

$2,886 Vol.

<2.4M

$788 Vol.

85%

2.4M-2.6M

$192 Vol.

2%

2.6M-2.8M

$327 Vol.

26%

2.8M-3.0M

$243 Vol.

1%

3.0M-3.2M

$252 Vol.

<1%

>3.2M

$1,083 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84.5% implied probability for TSA-screened passengers below 2.4 million on March 31, 2026, driven by subdued air travel demand amid a partial government shutdown that spurred TSA staffing shortages and extended security lines earlier in late March. Recent daily throughputs reflect this caution, with March 30 at 2.53 million, March 29 at 2.76 million, but weekdays like March 25 (2.38 million) and March 24 (2.19 million) dipping under the threshold, alongside year-over-year declines near 9%. Easing lines after backpay issuance to officers provides modest support for higher buckets like 2.6M-2.8M (48.4%), though pre-Easter Thursday positioning favors conservatism; official TSA data expected April 1 morning.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$2,886
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 84.5% implied probability for TSA-screened passengers below 2.4 million on March 31, 2026, driven by subdued air travel demand amid a partial government shutdown that spurred TSA staffing shortages and extended security lines earlier in late March. Recent daily throughputs reflect this caution, with March 30 at 2.53 million, March 29 at 2.76 million, but weekdays like March 25 (2.38 million) and March 24 (2.19 million) dipping under the threshold, alongside year-over-year declines near 9%. Easing lines after backpay issuance to officers provides modest support for higher buckets like 2.6M-2.8M (48.4%), though pre-Easter Thursday positioning favors conservatism; official TSA data expected April 1 morning.

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026.

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.

If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$2,886
Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:13 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 31, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Number of TSA Passengers March 31?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<2.4M" con 85%, seguido de "2.6M-2.8M" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 85¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Number of TSA Passengers March 31?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Number of TSA Passengers March 31?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Number of TSA Passengers March 31?" es "<2.4M" con 85%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 85% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "2.6M-2.8M" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Number of TSA Passengers March 31?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.