Trader sentiment on Polymarket assigns a 77.5% implied probability to 2.6 million–2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 2, reflecting recent daily volumes averaging 2.6 million amid spring break tailwinds, with March 29 at 2.76 million, March 27 at 2.74 million, and March 30 at 2.53 million per official TSA data. Volumes dipped to 2.43 million on March 28 but rebounded, buoyed by backpay for TSA officers issued March 30 that eased staffing shortages from the ongoing partial government shutdown and shortened security lines. The 20.5% odds on 2.8 million–3.0 million capture upside from lingering holiday travel, while lower bins price in post-weekend normalization versus record projections of 2.8 million daily. Official data releases April 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado2.6M-2.8M 62%
2.8M-3.0M 34%
2.4M-2.6M 22%
<2.4M 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 abr 2026
<2.4M
12%
2.4M-2.6M
17%
2.6M-2.8M
62%
2.8M-3.0M
20%
3.0M-3.2M
<1%
>3.2M
<1%
2.6M-2.8M 62%
2.8M-3.0M 34%
2.4M-2.6M 22%
<2.4M 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 abr 2026
<2.4M
$80 Vol.
12%
2.4M-2.6M
$30 Vol.
17%
2.6M-2.8M
$176 Vol.
62%
2.8M-3.0M
$91 Vol.
20%
3.0M-3.2M
$255 Vol.
<1%
>3.2M
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader sentiment on Polymarket assigns a 77.5% implied probability to 2.6 million–2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 2, reflecting recent daily volumes averaging 2.6 million amid spring break tailwinds, with March 29 at 2.76 million, March 27 at 2.74 million, and March 30 at 2.53 million per official TSA data. Volumes dipped to 2.43 million on March 28 but rebounded, buoyed by backpay for TSA officers issued March 30 that eased staffing shortages from the ongoing partial government shutdown and shortened security lines. The 20.5% odds on 2.8 million–3.0 million capture upside from lingering holiday travel, while lower bins price in post-weekend normalization versus record projections of 2.8 million daily. Official data releases April 3.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Volumen
$833Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader sentiment on Polymarket assigns a 77.5% implied probability to 2.6 million–2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 2, reflecting recent daily volumes averaging 2.6 million amid spring break tailwinds, with March 29 at 2.76 million, March 27 at 2.74 million, and March 30 at 2.53 million per official TSA data. Volumes dipped to 2.43 million on March 28 but rebounded, buoyed by backpay for TSA officers issued March 30 that eased staffing shortages from the ongoing partial government shutdown and shortened security lines. The 20.5% odds on 2.8 million–3.0 million capture upside from lingering holiday travel, while lower bins price in post-weekend normalization versus record projections of 2.8 million daily. Official data releases April 3.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 2, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$833Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Polymarket assigns a 77.5% implied probability to 2.6 million–2.8 million TSA checkpoint passengers on April 2, reflecting recent daily volumes averaging 2.6 million amid spring break tailwinds, with March 29 at 2.76 million, March 27 at 2.74 million, and March 30 at 2.53 million per official TSA data. Volumes dipped to 2.43 million on March 28 but rebounded, buoyed by backpay for TSA officers issued March 30 that eased staffing shortages from the ongoing partial government shutdown and shortened security lines. The 20.5% odds on 2.8 million–3.0 million capture upside from lingering holiday travel, while lower bins price in post-weekend normalization versus record projections of 2.8 million daily. Official data releases April 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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