Recent TSA checkpoint passenger volumes through March 30, 2026, averaged around 2.5 million daily amid spring break peaks, but dipped below 2.4 million on select weekdays like March 24 (2.19 million), positioning under 2.4 million as the trader-favored outcome at 72% implied probability for April 1. Year-over-year declines of 9-12% reflect suppressed demand from prolonged DHS partial shutdown, which spurred 40-50% TSA officer absenteeism, hours-long security lines, and surveys indicating one-third of Americans delaying trips. With pay promised to TSA workers and lines easing late March, post-spring break lull before Easter weekend (April 5) travel supports expectations of subdued Tuesday throughput, though weather or cancellations could influence final figures reported by TSA.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado<2.4M 51%
2.4M-2.6M 11%
2.6M-2.8M 2.1%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
$7,795 Vol.
$7,795 Vol.
1 abr 2026
<2.4M
51%
2.4M-2.6M
11%
2.6M-2.8M
2%
2.8M-3.0M
<1%
3.0M-3.2M
<1%
>3.2M
<1%
<2.4M 51%
2.4M-2.6M 11%
2.6M-2.8M 2.1%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
$7,795 Vol.
$7,795 Vol.
1 abr 2026
<2.4M
$1,784 Vol.
51%
2.4M-2.6M
$631 Vol.
11%
2.6M-2.8M
$1,072 Vol.
2%
2.8M-3.0M
$1,926 Vol.
<1%
3.0M-3.2M
$909 Vol.
<1%
>3.2M
$1,473 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Recent TSA checkpoint passenger volumes through March 30, 2026, averaged around 2.5 million daily amid spring break peaks, but dipped below 2.4 million on select weekdays like March 24 (2.19 million), positioning under 2.4 million as the trader-favored outcome at 72% implied probability for April 1. Year-over-year declines of 9-12% reflect suppressed demand from prolonged DHS partial shutdown, which spurred 40-50% TSA officer absenteeism, hours-long security lines, and surveys indicating one-third of Americans delaying trips. With pay promised to TSA workers and lines easing late March, post-spring break lull before Easter weekend (April 5) travel supports expectations of subdued Tuesday throughput, though weather or cancellations could influence final figures reported by TSA.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ET
Volumen
$7,795Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Recent TSA checkpoint passenger volumes through March 30, 2026, averaged around 2.5 million daily amid spring break peaks, but dipped below 2.4 million on select weekdays like March 24 (2.19 million), positioning under 2.4 million as the trader-favored outcome at 72% implied probability for April 1. Year-over-year declines of 9-12% reflect suppressed demand from prolonged DHS partial shutdown, which spurred 40-50% TSA officer absenteeism, hours-long security lines, and surveys indicating one-third of Americans delaying trips. With pay promised to TSA workers and lines easing late March, post-spring break lull before Easter weekend (April 5) travel supports expectations of subdued Tuesday throughput, though weather or cancellations could influence final figures reported by TSA.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on April 1, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volumen
$7,795Fecha de finalización
1 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 5:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent TSA checkpoint passenger volumes through March 30, 2026, averaged around 2.5 million daily amid spring break peaks, but dipped below 2.4 million on select weekdays like March 24 (2.19 million), positioning under 2.4 million as the trader-favored outcome at 72% implied probability for April 1. Year-over-year declines of 9-12% reflect suppressed demand from prolonged DHS partial shutdown, which spurred 40-50% TSA officer absenteeism, hours-long security lines, and surveys indicating one-third of Americans delaying trips. With pay promised to TSA workers and lines easing late March, post-spring break lull before Easter weekend (April 5) travel supports expectations of subdued Tuesday throughput, though weather or cancellations could influence final figures reported by TSA.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes