Market icon
Economía·Desempleo

Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K.

Market icon
Economía·Desempleo

Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K.

Ended: Mar 19

Ended: Mar 19

5.2% 100.0%

≤5.0% <1%

5.1% <1%

5.3% <1%

Polymarket

$436 Vol.

5.2% 100.0%

≤5.0% <1%

5.1% <1%

5.3% <1%

Polymarket

$436 Vol.

≤5.0%

$436 Vol.

No

5.1%

$0 Vol.

No

5.2%

$0 Vol.

Yes

5.3%

$0 Vol.

No

5.4%

$0 Vol.

No

≥5.5%

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases

The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.

If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$436
Fecha de finalización
Mar 19, 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado propuesto: Yes

Sin disputa

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.This market will resolve according to the UK seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) for November 2025 to January 2026 reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the ‘Employment in the UK’ release for the specified period. The resolution source for this market is the 'Employment in the UK' release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/bulletins/employmentintheuk/previousreleases The next data release is currently scheduled to be released on March 19, 2026. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no relevant data for the specified period is released by the date the next period’s data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available ‘Employment in the UK’ release. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged to a 100% implied probability for the UK unemployment rate averaging exactly 5.2% over November to January, anchored by Bank of England projections and Reuters economist polls forecasting precisely this level amid softening labor conditions. Recent ONS data showed the rate ticking up to 4.4% for September-November, with payrolled jobs growth decelerating to 0.1% monthly, redundancies surging 25%, and vacancies at 664,000—multi-year lows signaling persistent weakness despite Bank Rate cuts to 4.75%. This positioning holds firm absent surprises, though stronger-than-expected payrolls or upward wage revisions could shift odds toward ≤5.0%, a scenario traders price at just 0.1%. Next ONS release on February 18 may catalyze volatility.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K." es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "5.2%" con 100%, seguido de "≤5.0%" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K." es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Feb 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K.", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K." es "5.2%" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "≤5.0%" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Nov-Jan Unemployment Rate - U.K." definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.