Trader consensus on the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award hinges on a cluster of elite National League sluggers, with Shohei Ohtani's 2024 dominance—54 home runs, 130 RBIs, and MVP hardware—slightly edging Mookie Betts despite his injury-shortened season, keeping their implied probabilities within 4.5 points. Ronald Acuña Jr., Fernando Tatis Jr., and Bryce Harper trail at 33.1% each, buoyed by injury recoveries and prime-age upside: Acuña's ACL rehab, Tatis's consistent power, and Harper's sustained production. Juan Soto's blockbuster Mets signing elevates his NL profile, but the race stays tight amid unpredictable health, lineup protection in stacked Dodgers and Phillies offenses, and the award's emphasis on hits, runs, and RBIs where upsets thrive.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Ganador
MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Ganador
Mookie Betts 36.5%
Bryce Harper 32.6%
Juan Soto 18%
Kyle Schwarber 9%
$80,352 Vol.
$80,352 Vol.
Mookie Betts
37%
Bryce Harper
33%
Juan Soto
18%
Kyle Schwarber
9%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
2%
Ketel Marte
19%
Francisco Lindor
15%
Shohei Ohtani
41%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
33%
Fernando Tatís Jr.
33%
Mookie Betts 36.5%
Bryce Harper 32.6%
Juan Soto 18%
Kyle Schwarber 9%
$80,352 Vol.
$80,352 Vol.
Mookie Betts
37%
Bryce Harper
33%
Juan Soto
18%
Kyle Schwarber
9%
Pete Crow-Armstrong
2%
Ketel Marte
19%
Francisco Lindor
15%
Shohei Ohtani
41%
Ronald Acuña Jr.
33%
Fernando Tatís Jr.
33%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award hinges on a cluster of elite National League sluggers, with Shohei Ohtani's 2024 dominance—54 home runs, 130 RBIs, and MVP hardware—slightly edging Mookie Betts despite his injury-shortened season, keeping their implied probabilities within 4.5 points. Ronald Acuña Jr., Fernando Tatis Jr., and Bryce Harper trail at 33.1% each, buoyed by injury recoveries and prime-age upside: Acuña's ACL rehab, Tatis's consistent power, and Harper's sustained production. Juan Soto's blockbuster Mets signing elevates his NL profile, but the race stays tight amid unpredictable health, lineup protection in stacked Dodgers and Phillies offenses, and the award's emphasis on hits, runs, and RBIs where upsets thrive.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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