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¿Casos de sarampión en EE. UU. antes de 2026?

Market icon

¿Casos de sarampión en EE. UU. antes de 2026?

$1,671,160 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$1,671,160 Vol.

Polymarket

1400

$93,763 Vol.

1500

$138,451 Vol.

1600

$130,211 Vol.

1700

$337,781 Vol.

1750

$234,545 Vol.

1800

$82,715 Vol.

1900

$179,854 Vol.

2000

$211,191 Vol.

2050

$145,068 Vol.

2100

$85,389 Vol.

No

2150

$20,423 Vol.

No

2200

$11,769 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been 1,400 or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2025 according to the CDC case counter by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
Volumen
$1,671,160
Fecha de finalización
Dec 31, 2025
Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2025, 12:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been 1,400 or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2025 according to the CDC case counter by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"¿Casos de sarampión en EE. UU. antes de 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1400" at 100%, followed by "1500" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "¿Casos de sarampión en EE. UU. antes de 2026?" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "¿Casos de sarampión en EE. UU. antes de 2026?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "¿Casos de sarampión en EE. UU. antes de 2026?" is "1400" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1500" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "¿Casos de sarampión en EE. UU. antes de 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.