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Política·Elecciones A La Alcaldía

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Marsella

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Política·Elecciones A La Alcaldía

Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Marsella

Benoît Payan 100.0%

Polymarket

$281,073 Vol.

Benoît Payan 100.0%

Polymarket

$281,073 Vol.

Market icon

Benoît Payan

$208,592 Vol.

100%

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Incumbent Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, municipal election runoff, winning 54% of the vote in a broad left-wing coalition against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 40% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal at 5%. This commanding victory, bolstered by pre-runoff polls favoring Payan and the far right's inability to consolidate support, drove trader consensus to 100% implied probability on Polymarket. Payan was officially installed by the municipal council on March 28 amid a widened majority including centrists. While results appear definitive under France's sector-based electoral system, late legal challenges, recounts in contested arrondissements, or council disruptions could theoretically alter outcomes, though none have emerged.

Incumbent Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, municipal election runoff, winning 54% of the vote in a broad left-wing coalition against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 40% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal at 5%. This commanding victory, bolstered by pre-runoff polls favoring Payan and the far right's inability to consolidate support, drove trader consensus to 100% implied probability on Polymarket. Payan was officially installed by the municipal council on March 28 amid a widened majority including centrists. While results appear definitive under France's sector-based electoral system, late legal challenges, recounts in contested arrondissements, or council disruptions could theoretically alter outcomes, though none have emerged.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Incumbent Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, municipal election runoff, winning 54% of the vote in a broad left-wing coalition against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 40% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal at 5%. This commanding victory, bolstered by pre-runoff polls favoring Payan and the far right's inability to consolidate support, drove trader consensus to 100% implied probability on Polymarket. Payan was officially installed by the municipal council on March 28 amid a widened majority including centrists. While results appear definitive under France's sector-based electoral system, late legal challenges, recounts in contested arrondissements, or council disruptions could theoretically alter outcomes, though none have emerged.

Incumbent Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, municipal election runoff, winning 54% of the vote in a broad left-wing coalition against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 40% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal at 5%. This commanding victory, bolstered by pre-runoff polls favoring Payan and the far right's inability to consolidate support, drove trader consensus to 100% implied probability on Polymarket. Payan was officially installed by the municipal council on March 28 amid a widened majority including centrists. While results appear definitive under France's sector-based electoral system, late legal challenges, recounts in contested arrondissements, or council disruptions could theoretically alter outcomes, though none have emerged.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Marsella" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Benoît Payan" con 100%, seguido de "Erwann Davoux" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Marsella" ha generado $281.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 16, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Marsella", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Marsella" es "Benoît Payan" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Erwann Davoux" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones a la alcaldía de Marsella" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.