MetService's latest forecast, updated April 1, projects a high of 19°C in Wellington on April 2 under a ridge of high pressure delivering fine conditions and ample sunshine, aligning with the market's leading implied probability of 36.5% for that outcome and trader consensus around 18–20°C. This reflects consistent model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing maxima in this narrow range, bolstered by NIWA's seasonal outlook favoring above-average autumn temperatures (40% chance). Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud variations or light southerly breezes capping peaks at 18°C versus clearer skies and solar heating pushing toward 20°C, per historical April averages of 17–18°C. New model runs expected this afternoon could refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on April 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 2?
19°C 37%
18°C 23%
20°C 21%
17°C 11%
$28,682 Vol.
$28,682 Vol.
2 abr 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
11%
18°C
23%
19°C
37%
20°C
21%
21°C or higher
8%
19°C 37%
18°C 23%
20°C 21%
17°C 11%
$28,682 Vol.
$28,682 Vol.
2 abr 2026
11°C or below
$13,720 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,435 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$966 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$913 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,664 Vol.
3%
17°C
$3,062 Vol.
11%
18°C
$1,433 Vol.
23%
19°C
$1,037 Vol.
37%
20°C
$1,949 Vol.
21%
21°C or higher
$1,558 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, updated April 1, projects a high of 19°C in Wellington on April 2 under a ridge of high pressure delivering fine conditions and ample sunshine, aligning with the market's leading implied probability of 36.5% for that outcome and trader consensus around 18–20°C. This reflects consistent model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing maxima in this narrow range, bolstered by NIWA's seasonal outlook favoring above-average autumn temperatures (40% chance). Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud variations or light southerly breezes capping peaks at 18°C versus clearer skies and solar heating pushing toward 20°C, per historical April averages of 17–18°C. New model runs expected this afternoon could refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volumen
$28,682Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast, updated April 1, projects a high of 19°C in Wellington on April 2 under a ridge of high pressure delivering fine conditions and ample sunshine, aligning with the market's leading implied probability of 36.5% for that outcome and trader consensus around 18–20°C. This reflects consistent model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing maxima in this narrow range, bolstered by NIWA's seasonal outlook favoring above-average autumn temperatures (40% chance). Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud variations or light southerly breezes capping peaks at 18°C versus clearer skies and solar heating pushing toward 20°C, per historical April averages of 17–18°C. New model runs expected this afternoon could refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,682Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast, updated April 1, projects a high of 19°C in Wellington on April 2 under a ridge of high pressure delivering fine conditions and ample sunshine, aligning with the market's leading implied probability of 36.5% for that outcome and trader consensus around 18–20°C. This reflects consistent model guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing maxima in this narrow range, bolstered by NIWA's seasonal outlook favoring above-average autumn temperatures (40% chance). Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud variations or light southerly breezes capping peaks at 18°C versus clearer skies and solar heating pushing toward 20°C, per historical April averages of 17–18°C. New model runs expected this afternoon could refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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