Spain's overwhelming 80% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their status as UEFA Nations League quarterfinal advancers after a dramatic penalty shootout victory over the Netherlands in late March, bolstering their world No. 2 FIFA ranking and deep squad featuring Lamine Yamal and Pedri. Uruguay holds a solid 16% as the primary challenger, leveraging strong CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers and talents like Darwin Núñez and Federico Valverde, though recent friendlies showed defensive vulnerabilities. Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia languish at 2.4% each, hampered by lower rankings, inconsistent March results—Saudi's 0-4 loss to Egypt—and historic underperformance against elite opposition, positioning Group H as a two-horse race per trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEspaña 80%
Uruguay 16%
Cabo Verde 2.4%
Arabia Saudita 2.4%
$70,500 Vol.
$70,500 Vol.
27 jun 2026
España
80%
Uruguay
16%
Cabo Verde
2%
Arabia Saudita
2%
España 80%
Uruguay 16%
Cabo Verde 2.4%
Arabia Saudita 2.4%
$70,500 Vol.
$70,500 Vol.
27 jun 2026
España
$8,377 Vol.
80%
Uruguay
$3,064 Vol.
16%
Cabo Verde
$54,612 Vol.
2%
Arabia Saudita
$4,447 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's overwhelming 80% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their status as UEFA Nations League quarterfinal advancers after a dramatic penalty shootout victory over the Netherlands in late March, bolstering their world No. 2 FIFA ranking and deep squad featuring Lamine Yamal and Pedri. Uruguay holds a solid 16% as the primary challenger, leveraging strong CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers and talents like Darwin Núñez and Federico Valverde, though recent friendlies showed defensive vulnerabilities. Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia languish at 2.4% each, hampered by lower rankings, inconsistent March results—Saudi's 0-4 loss to Egypt—and historic underperformance against elite opposition, positioning Group H as a two-horse race per trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volumen
$70,500Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain's overwhelming 80% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their status as UEFA Nations League quarterfinal advancers after a dramatic penalty shootout victory over the Netherlands in late March, bolstering their world No. 2 FIFA ranking and deep squad featuring Lamine Yamal and Pedri. Uruguay holds a solid 16% as the primary challenger, leveraging strong CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers and talents like Darwin Núñez and Federico Valverde, though recent friendlies showed defensive vulnerabilities. Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia languish at 2.4% each, hampered by lower rankings, inconsistent March results—Saudi's 0-4 loss to Egypt—and historic underperformance against elite opposition, positioning Group H as a two-horse race per trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$70,500Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's overwhelming 80% implied probability as Group H winner stems from their status as UEFA Nations League quarterfinal advancers after a dramatic penalty shootout victory over the Netherlands in late March, bolstering their world No. 2 FIFA ranking and deep squad featuring Lamine Yamal and Pedri. Uruguay holds a solid 16% as the primary challenger, leveraging strong CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers and talents like Darwin Núñez and Federico Valverde, though recent friendlies showed defensive vulnerabilities. Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia languish at 2.4% each, hampered by lower rankings, inconsistent March results—Saudi's 0-4 loss to Egypt—and historic underperformance against elite opposition, positioning Group H as a two-horse race per trader consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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