Trader consensus positions Netherlands as the clear Group F favorite at 58% implied probability, driven by their No. 7 FIFA ranking, dominant UEFA Group G qualifying campaign, and deep squad featuring stars like Virgil van Dijk and Frenkie de Jong, giving them matchup edges over all rivals. Japan holds second at 28%, reflecting their consistent AFC dominance as the first non-host to qualify, tactical discipline, and World Cup upset history against top teams. Sweden's dramatic 3-2 playoff victory over Poland yesterday secured their spot after a 3-1 win versus Ukraine, yet traders assign just 11.5% to the Path B winner slot due to playoff teams' historical group struggles; Tunisia trails at 2.4% amid modest African qualifying and limited firepower. Recent playoff resolution solidifies a competitive group favoring Europe's elite.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoPaíses Bajos 58%
Japón 28%
ALB/POL/SUE/UCR 13%
Túnez 2.6%
$34,562 Vol.
$34,562 Vol.
Países Bajos
58%
Japón
28%
ALB/POL/SUE/UCR
13%
Túnez
3%
Países Bajos 58%
Japón 28%
ALB/POL/SUE/UCR 13%
Túnez 2.6%
$34,562 Vol.
$34,562 Vol.
Países Bajos
58%
Japón
28%
ALB/POL/SUE/UCR
13%
Túnez
3%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Netherlands as the clear Group F favorite at 58% implied probability, driven by their No. 7 FIFA ranking, dominant UEFA Group G qualifying campaign, and deep squad featuring stars like Virgil van Dijk and Frenkie de Jong, giving them matchup edges over all rivals. Japan holds second at 28%, reflecting their consistent AFC dominance as the first non-host to qualify, tactical discipline, and World Cup upset history against top teams. Sweden's dramatic 3-2 playoff victory over Poland yesterday secured their spot after a 3-1 win versus Ukraine, yet traders assign just 11.5% to the Path B winner slot due to playoff teams' historical group struggles; Tunisia trails at 2.4% amid modest African qualifying and limited firepower. Recent playoff resolution solidifies a competitive group favoring Europe's elite.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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