Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 38.9%

Francia 11.3%

Dinamarca 10.5%

Australia 6.9%

Polymarket

$68,134,722 Vol.

Finlandia 38.9%

Francia 11.3%

Dinamarca 10.5%

Australia 6.9%

Polymarket

$68,134,722 Vol.

Market icon

Finlandia

$2,090,553 Vol.

39%

Market icon

Francia

$1,535,486 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Dinamarca

$1,062,031 Vol.

11%

Market icon

Australia

$1,321,368 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Grecia

$1,450,830 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Israel

$1,339,264 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Suecia

$1,050,631 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Rumanía

$1,045,491 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Italia

$1,649,521 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Ucrania

$1,229,988 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Chipre

$1,196,879 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chequia

$867,853 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Malta

$1,089,009 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bulgaria

$1,182,101 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Moldavia

$1,400,401 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Croacia

$1,058,109 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Luxemburgo

$1,095,428 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Noruega

$1,575,457 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Lituania

$2,022,568 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bélgica

$1,538,341 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Alemania

$1,062,665 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Serbia

$1,553,996 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Suiza

$2,562,313 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Reino Unido

$806,444 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Albania

$2,907,173 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Armenia

$2,924,668 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Georgia

$3,031,003 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Montenegro

$3,668,219 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Polonia

$3,046,688 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Austria

$3,166,555 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Estonia

$3,640,515 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Letonia

$3,072,989 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Portugal

$2,942,856 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

San Marino

$3,499,221 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Azerbaiyán

$3,451,721 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violin virtuoso Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a commanding 38.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, propelled by their landslide UMK national final victory in early March—scoring nearly triple the runner-up—and widespread acclaim for blending rock, classical flourishes, and dance energy, topping OGAE fan polls and bookie odds. France has surged to 11.3% amid heavy wagering on its jury-favored entry and guaranteed Grand Final spot as a Big 5 nation, while Denmark (10.5%) and Australia (6.9%) hold firm with strong national selections and precursor buzz. As national finals wrap, trader sentiment hinges on semi-final qualifiers like Finland's May 12 slot, with Vienna rehearsals and televote momentum key catalysts ahead of the May 16 finale.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$68,134,722
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violin virtuoso Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a commanding 38.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, propelled by their landslide UMK national final victory in early March—scoring nearly triple the runner-up—and widespread acclaim for blending rock, classical flourishes, and dance energy, topping OGAE fan polls and bookie odds. France has surged to 11.3% amid heavy wagering on its jury-favored entry and guaranteed Grand Final spot as a Big 5 nation, while Denmark (10.5%) and Australia (6.9%) hold firm with strong national selections and precursor buzz. As national finals wrap, trader sentiment hinges on semi-final qualifiers like Finland's May 12 slot, with Vienna rehearsals and televote momentum key catalysts ahead of the May 16 finale.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$68,134,722
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 39%, seguido de "Francia" con 11%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $68.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 11%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.