Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 36.1% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28, where the entry nearly tripled the runner-up's score amid record viewership and strong jury-televote balance, evoking past Nordic winners like "Cha Cha Cha." France (13.8%) and Denmark (10.3%) trail closely, buoyed by their respective internal selection and DMGP win with Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" on February 14, plus recent OGAE fan votes favoring Finland. Pre-parties like today's Eurovision in Concert, confirming 27 acts, amplify buzz, but odds remain fluid ahead of Vienna semifinals in May amid ongoing national finals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoGanador de Eurovisión 2026
Ganador de Eurovisión 2026
Finlandia 36.0%
Francia 13.7%
Dinamarca 10.3%
Australia 6.6%
$53,463,785 Vol.
$53,463,785 Vol.
16 may 2026
Finlandia
36%
Francia
14%
Dinamarca
10%
Australia
7%
Grecia
6%
Israel
4%
Suecia
4%
Ucrania
3%
Italia
2%
Rumanía
2%
Chequia
1%
Chipre
1%
Malta
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croacia
1%
Alemania
1%
Luxemburgo
1%
Bélgica
1%
Moldavia
1%
Noruega
1%
Suiza
1%
Reino Unido
1%
Polonia
1%
Albania
<1%
Austria
<1%
Estonia
<1%
Letonia
<1%
San Marino
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Azerbaiyán
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Lituania
<1%
Montenegro
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Portugal
<1%
Finlandia 36.0%
Francia 13.7%
Dinamarca 10.3%
Australia 6.6%
$53,463,785 Vol.
$53,463,785 Vol.
16 may 2026
Finlandia
$1,856,031 Vol.
36%
Francia
$1,420,388 Vol.
14%
Dinamarca
$938,970 Vol.
10%
Australia
$1,201,211 Vol.
7%
Grecia
$1,318,305 Vol.
6%
Israel
$1,233,552 Vol.
4%
Suecia
$942,540 Vol.
4%
Ucrania
$1,117,549 Vol.
3%
Italia
$1,519,867 Vol.
2%
Rumanía
$897,214 Vol.
2%
Chequia
$810,049 Vol.
1%
Chipre
$1,120,650 Vol.
1%
Malta
$1,024,898 Vol.
1%
Bulgaria
$1,114,331 Vol.
1%
Croacia
$949,318 Vol.
1%
Alemania
$888,834 Vol.
1%
Luxemburgo
$1,022,096 Vol.
1%
Bélgica
$1,257,117 Vol.
1%
Moldavia
$1,178,602 Vol.
1%
Noruega
$1,299,846 Vol.
1%
Suiza
$2,214,985 Vol.
1%
Reino Unido
$716,312 Vol.
1%
Polonia
$1,973,429 Vol.
1%
Albania
$2,053,118 Vol.
<1%
Austria
$2,153,923 Vol.
<1%
Estonia
$2,562,429 Vol.
<1%
Letonia
$2,136,992 Vol.
<1%
San Marino
$2,358,787 Vol.
<1%
Armenia
$2,114,210 Vol.
<1%
Azerbaiyán
$2,496,649 Vol.
<1%
Georgia
$2,227,299 Vol.
<1%
Lituania
$1,635,030 Vol.
<1%
Montenegro
$2,723,740 Vol.
<1%
Serbia
$812,901 Vol.
<1%
Portugal
$2,174,519 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 36.1% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28, where the entry nearly tripled the runner-up's score amid record viewership and strong jury-televote balance, evoking past Nordic winners like "Cha Cha Cha." France (13.8%) and Denmark (10.3%) trail closely, buoyed by their respective internal selection and DMGP win with Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" on February 14, plus recent OGAE fan votes favoring Finland. Pre-parties like today's Eurovision in Concert, confirming 27 acts, amplify buzz, but odds remain fluid ahead of Vienna semifinals in May amid ongoing national finals.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Volumen
$53,463,785Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 36.1% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28, where the entry nearly tripled the runner-up's score amid record viewership and strong jury-televote balance, evoking past Nordic winners like "Cha Cha Cha." France (13.8%) and Denmark (10.3%) trail closely, buoyed by their respective internal selection and DMGP win with Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" on February 14, plus recent OGAE fan votes favoring Finland. Pre-parties like today's Eurovision in Concert, confirming 27 acts, amplify buzz, but odds remain fluid ahead of Vienna semifinals in May amid ongoing national finals.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$53,463,785Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and pop star Pete Parkkonen has surged to a 36.1% implied probability as the clear frontrunner following their dominant UMK 2026 victory on February 28, where the entry nearly tripled the runner-up's score amid record viewership and strong jury-televote balance, evoking past Nordic winners like "Cha Cha Cha." France (13.8%) and Denmark (10.3%) trail closely, buoyed by their respective internal selection and DMGP win with Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før vi går hjem" on February 14, plus recent OGAE fan votes favoring Finland. Pre-parties like today's Eurovision in Concert, confirming 27 acts, amplify buzz, but odds remain fluid ahead of Vienna semifinals in May amid ongoing national finals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes