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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 35.3%

Francia 12.4%

Dinamarca 11.7%

Australia 8.0%

Polymarket

$46,388,527 Vol.

Finlandia 35.3%

Francia 12.4%

Dinamarca 11.7%

Australia 8.0%

Polymarket

$46,388,527 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,815,268 Vol.

35%

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Francia

$1,257,957 Vol.

12%

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Dinamarca

$846,870 Vol.

12%

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Australia

$1,124,233 Vol.

8%

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Grecia

$1,249,834 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,163,465 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$847,706 Vol.

4%

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Italia

$1,433,273 Vol.

3%

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Ucrania

$1,052,250 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$821,131 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$922,958 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$751,226 Vol.

1%

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Chipre

$1,051,596 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,050,671 Vol.

1%

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Moldavia

$1,026,143 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$807,672 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$669,690 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,177,898 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$899,253 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$899,229 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,214,492 Vol.

1%

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Serbia

$751,594 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,161,175 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,743,772 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$1,602,257 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,196,163 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,324,973 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,597,955 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$1,999,525 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$1,909,128 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,728,871 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,664,411 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,183,941 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$1,610,889 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,831,821 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.3% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their "Liekinheitin" landslide victory at UMK on February 28—nearly tripling the runner-up score—and rapid gains in fan polls, Spotify streams, and predictive models like The Model. The classical violin-pop fusion evokes strong Nordic televote and jury potential, akin to recent regional frontrunners. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") holds 12.4% on polished national final buzz, edging Denmark's entry at 11.7% amid recent odds swaps, while Greece and Australia climb via streaming surges and public endorsements. With all 35 songs released ahead of May 12-16 semis and final at Wiener Stadthalle, live previews and OGAE polling loom as key catalysts in this volatile contest landscape.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.3% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their "Liekinheitin" landslide victory at UMK on February 28—nearly tripling the runner-up score—and rapid gains in fan polls, Spotify streams, and predictive models like The Model. The classical violin-pop fusion evokes strong Nordic televote and jury potential, akin to recent regional frontrunners. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") holds 12.4% on polished national final buzz, edging Denmark's entry at 11.7% amid recent odds swaps, while Greece and Australia climb via streaming surges and public endorsements. With all 35 songs released ahead of May 12-16 semis and final at Wiener Stadthalle, live previews and OGAE polling loom as key catalysts in this volatile contest landscape.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.3% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their "Liekinheitin" landslide victory at UMK on February 28—nearly tripling the runner-up score—and rapid gains in fan polls, Spotify streams, and predictive models like The Model. The classical violin-pop fusion evokes strong Nordic televote and jury potential, akin to recent regional frontrunners. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") holds 12.4% on polished national final buzz, edging Denmark's entry at 11.7% amid recent odds swaps, while Greece and Australia climb via streaming surges and public endorsements. With all 35 songs released ahead of May 12-16 semis and final at Wiener Stadthalle, live previews and OGAE polling loom as key catalysts in this volatile contest landscape.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.3% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their "Liekinheitin" landslide victory at UMK on February 28—nearly tripling the runner-up score—and rapid gains in fan polls, Spotify streams, and predictive models like The Model. The classical violin-pop fusion evokes strong Nordic televote and jury potential, akin to recent regional frontrunners. France's Monroe ("Regarde!") holds 12.4% on polished national final buzz, edging Denmark's entry at 11.7% amid recent odds swaps, while Greece and Australia climb via streaming surges and public endorsements. With all 35 songs released ahead of May 12-16 semis and final at Wiener Stadthalle, live previews and OGAE polling loom as key catalysts in this volatile contest landscape.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Francia" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $46.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.