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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 35.9%

Francia 12.1%

Dinamarca 11.9%

Grecia 6.5%

Polymarket

$43,288,201 Vol.

Finlandia 35.9%

Francia 12.1%

Dinamarca 11.9%

Grecia 6.5%

Polymarket

$43,288,201 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,768,140 Vol.

36%

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Francia

$1,183,702 Vol.

12%

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Dinamarca

$813,008 Vol.

12%

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Grecia

$1,203,596 Vol.

6%

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Australia

$1,067,983 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,107,055 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$799,199 Vol.

4%

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Ucrania

$1,002,167 Vol.

3%

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Italia

$1,363,608 Vol.

2%

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Malta

$893,124 Vol.

1%

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Rumanía

$768,754 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$722,204 Vol.

1%

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Chipre

$1,020,880 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,019,466 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,163,328 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$787,333 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$647,862 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$865,492 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,141,034 Vol.

1%

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Serbia

$694,460 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,117,427 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$806,889 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,506,367 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$1,365,294 Vol.

<1%

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Moldavia

$825,553 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$1,695,672 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,041,620 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,170,133 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$1,438,572 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,463,236 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$1,811,249 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,762,337 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,608,296 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,561,378 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,083,825 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 winner market with a 35.9% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on its powerhouse national selection process and lingering momentum from Käärijä's runner-up finish in 2023 with the televote-dominating "Cha Cha Cha." France (12.1%) and Denmark (11.9%) trail as strong contenders, bolstered by consistent jury and public appeal in recent contests, while Greece and Australia round out top five on diaspora voting strength and pop sensibilities. With no 2026 national finals announced yet—selections typically ramp up in early 2026 amid host bidding post-2025—odds capture early skin-in-the-game bets on historical patterns like Nordic dominance and Big 5 resources. Key catalysts include first artist reveals and semi-final allocations.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$43,288,201
Fecha de finalización
May 16, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland leads Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 winner market with a 35.9% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on its powerhouse national selection process and lingering momentum from Käärijä's runner-up finish in 2023 with the televote-dominating "Cha Cha Cha." France (12.1%) and Denmark (11.9%) trail as strong contenders, bolstered by consistent jury and public appeal in recent contests, while Greece and Australia round out top five on diaspora voting strength and pop sensibilities. With no 2026 national finals announced yet—selections typically ramp up in early 2026 amid host bidding post-2025—odds capture early skin-in-the-game bets on historical patterns like Nordic dominance and Big 5 resources. Key catalysts include first artist reveals and semi-final allocations.

Finland leads Polymarket's Eurovision 2026 winner market with a 35.9% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on its powerhouse national selection process and lingering momentum from Käärijä's runner-up finish in 2023 with the televote-dominating "Cha Cha Cha." France (12.1%) and Denmark (11.9%) trail as strong contenders, bolstered by consistent jury and public appeal in recent contests, while Greece and Australia round out top five on diaspora voting strength and pop sensibilities. With no 2026 national finals announced yet—selections typically ramp up in early 2026 amid host bidding post-2025—odds capture early skin-in-the-game bets on historical patterns like Nordic dominance and Big 5 resources. Key catalysts include first artist reveals and semi-final allocations.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 36%, seguido de "Francia" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $43.3 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.