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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 35.4%

Francia 13.3%

Dinamarca 10.2%

Australia 6.8%

Polymarket

$51,950,058 Vol.

Finlandia 35.4%

Francia 13.3%

Dinamarca 10.2%

Australia 6.8%

Polymarket

$51,950,058 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,840,849 Vol.

35%

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Francia

$1,395,712 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$911,959 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,187,208 Vol.

7%

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Grecia

$1,296,017 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,218,249 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$932,336 Vol.

4%

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Italia

$1,507,930 Vol.

3%

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Ucrania

$1,104,442 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$882,419 Vol.

2%

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Chipre

$1,113,594 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,005,727 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$784,536 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,107,042 Vol.

1%

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Moldavia

$1,085,652 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$882,223 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,021,298 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$938,636 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$715,021 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,232,201 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,277,826 Vol.

1%

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Polonia

$1,945,507 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,211,789 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,984,880 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,490,111 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$2,064,199 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,102,213 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,274,688 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,052,233 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,425,924 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,161,831 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,559,520 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,655,997 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$769,228 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,816,212 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.4% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their UMK victory on February 28 with the high-energy pop-rock anthem "Liekinheitin," which swept unanimous jury votes while building massive televote hype reminiscent of past Finnish televote surges like "Cha Cha Cha." Recent betting shifts reflect strong early previews, OGAE fan votes (including 12 points from France), and chart dominance alongside Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund entry, positioning France's Monroe ("Look!") at 13.3% and Denmark at 10.2% as close challengers with jury-friendly staging. Australia and Greece tie at 6.8% on diaspora voting potential, but uncertainty lingers with national finals ongoing through April and semis on May 12-14.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.4% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their UMK victory on February 28 with the high-energy pop-rock anthem "Liekinheitin," which swept unanimous jury votes while building massive televote hype reminiscent of past Finnish televote surges like "Cha Cha Cha." Recent betting shifts reflect strong early previews, OGAE fan votes (including 12 points from France), and chart dominance alongside Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund entry, positioning France's Monroe ("Look!") at 13.3% and Denmark at 10.2% as close challengers with jury-friendly staging. Australia and Greece tie at 6.8% on diaspora voting potential, but uncertainty lingers with national finals ongoing through April and semis on May 12-14.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.4% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their UMK victory on February 28 with the high-energy pop-rock anthem "Liekinheitin," which swept unanimous jury votes while building massive televote hype reminiscent of past Finnish televote surges like "Cha Cha Cha." Recent betting shifts reflect strong early previews, OGAE fan votes (including 12 points from France), and chart dominance alongside Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund entry, positioning France's Monroe ("Look!") at 13.3% and Denmark at 10.2% as close challengers with jury-friendly staging. Australia and Greece tie at 6.8% on diaspora voting potential, but uncertainty lingers with national finals ongoing through April and semis on May 12-14.

Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top trader consensus at 35.4% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026 in Vienna, driven by their UMK victory on February 28 with the high-energy pop-rock anthem "Liekinheitin," which swept unanimous jury votes while building massive televote hype reminiscent of past Finnish televote surges like "Cha Cha Cha." Recent betting shifts reflect strong early previews, OGAE fan votes (including 12 points from France), and chart dominance alongside Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund entry, positioning France's Monroe ("Look!") at 13.3% and Denmark at 10.2% as close challengers with jury-friendly staging. Australia and Greece tie at 6.8% on diaspora voting potential, but uncertainty lingers with national finals ongoing through April and semis on May 12-14.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Francia" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $52 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.