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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 35.3%

Francia 12.6%

Dinamarca 11.8%

Australia 8.2%

Polymarket

$46,093,248 Vol.

Finlandia 35.3%

Francia 12.6%

Dinamarca 11.8%

Australia 8.2%

Polymarket

$46,093,248 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,814,762 Vol.

35%

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Francia

$1,255,993 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$844,582 Vol.

12%

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Australia

$1,117,347 Vol.

8%

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Grecia

$1,246,215 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,158,405 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$846,821 Vol.

4%

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Italia

$1,431,532 Vol.

3%

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Ucrania

$1,050,082 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$817,774 Vol.

2%

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Malta

$921,128 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$750,755 Vol.

1%

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Chipre

$1,050,576 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,042,240 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$805,512 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$668,141 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,177,369 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$897,822 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$898,194 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,212,862 Vol.

1%

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Serbia

$751,135 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,160,964 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,731,493 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$1,590,300 Vol.

<1%

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Moldavia

$920,031 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,183,446 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,312,305 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,584,232 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$1,988,747 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$1,896,128 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,717,397 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,650,197 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,171,690 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$1,597,838 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,830,305 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35.3% implied probability following their UMK 2026 victory on February 28, propelled by top jury scores and explosive televote potential that predictive models like The Model now project as the likely winner. France's 12.6% trails closely after 17-year-old lyrical sensation Monroe unveiled "Regarde!" on March 6, sparking operatic buzz and immediate odds jump reminiscent of recent big-ballad successes. Denmark holds third at 11.8% on strong Dansk Melodi Grand Prix frontrunners like Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før Vi Går Hjem," amid high public engagement. With national finals ongoing and Vienna semis looming May 12-14, trader consensus reflects early momentum but anticipates shifts from remaining selections and rehearsal reveals.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35.3% implied probability following their UMK 2026 victory on February 28, propelled by top jury scores and explosive televote potential that predictive models like The Model now project as the likely winner. France's 12.6% trails closely after 17-year-old lyrical sensation Monroe unveiled "Regarde!" on March 6, sparking operatic buzz and immediate odds jump reminiscent of recent big-ballad successes. Denmark holds third at 11.8% on strong Dansk Melodi Grand Prix frontrunners like Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før Vi Går Hjem," amid high public engagement. With national finals ongoing and Vienna semis looming May 12-14, trader consensus reflects early momentum but anticipates shifts from remaining selections and rehearsal reveals.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35.3% implied probability following their UMK 2026 victory on February 28, propelled by top jury scores and explosive televote potential that predictive models like The Model now project as the likely winner. France's 12.6% trails closely after 17-year-old lyrical sensation Monroe unveiled "Regarde!" on March 6, sparking operatic buzz and immediate odds jump reminiscent of recent big-ballad successes. Denmark holds third at 11.8% on strong Dansk Melodi Grand Prix frontrunners like Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før Vi Går Hjem," amid high public engagement. With national finals ongoing and Vienna semis looming May 12-14, trader consensus reflects early momentum but anticipates shifts from remaining selections and rehearsal reveals.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen has surged to frontrunner status at 35.3% implied probability following their UMK 2026 victory on February 28, propelled by top jury scores and explosive televote potential that predictive models like The Model now project as the likely winner. France's 12.6% trails closely after 17-year-old lyrical sensation Monroe unveiled "Regarde!" on March 6, sparking operatic buzz and immediate odds jump reminiscent of recent big-ballad successes. Denmark holds third at 11.8% on strong Dansk Melodi Grand Prix frontrunners like Søren Torpegaard Lund's "Før Vi Går Hjem," amid high public engagement. With national finals ongoing and Vienna semis looming May 12-14, trader consensus reflects early momentum but anticipates shifts from remaining selections and rehearsal reveals.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Francia" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $46.1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.