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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 35.3%

Dinamarca 12.0%

Francia 11.9%

Australia 7.4%

Polymarket

$42,238,621 Vol.

Finlandia 35.3%

Dinamarca 12.0%

Francia 11.9%

Australia 7.4%

Polymarket

$42,238,621 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,758,448 Vol.

35%

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Dinamarca

$804,996 Vol.

12%

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Francia

$1,182,216 Vol.

12%

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Australia

$1,054,448 Vol.

7%

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Grecia

$1,198,172 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,101,530 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$795,617 Vol.

3%

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Ucrania

$973,256 Vol.

2%

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Italia

$1,360,685 Vol.

2%

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Malta

$873,378 Vol.

1%

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Rumanía

$762,744 Vol.

1%

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Chipre

$1,007,462 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$722,199 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,016,295 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$786,607 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$776,537 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,078,590 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$646,566 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,122,472 Vol.

1%

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Austria

$1,453,345 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$862,803 Vol.

1%

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Moldavia

$805,899 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,109,868 Vol.

1%

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Georgia

$1,541,111 Vol.

1%

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Polonia

$1,421,421 Vol.

1%

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Serbia

$688,714 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,456,472 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$1,752,985 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$1,343,222 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,655,065 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$1,681,037 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,576,783 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$1,882,850 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,026,493 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$1,963,929 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus crowns Finland as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 victory at 35.3% implied probability, driven by their explosive 2023 runner-up finish with Käärijä's "Cha Cha Cha"—a televote juggernaut that ignited a passionate fanbase and showcased their modern pop edge—coupled with consistent Nordic televoting strength. Denmark (12%) and France (12%) trail closely, leveraging Denmark's 2013 win and rhythmic pop pedigree alongside France's Big 5 automatic qualification and sophisticated chanson tradition. Australia's perennial diaspora-fueled top-10 runs hold at 7.2%, while Greece benefits from similar voting blocs. With national selections still months away and the 2025 contest in Basel setting the host for 2026, odds remain fluid amid high unpredictability in song quality and geopolitics.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$42,238,621
Fecha de finalización
May 16, 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus crowns Finland as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 victory at 35.3% implied probability, driven by their explosive 2023 runner-up finish with Käärijä's "Cha Cha Cha"—a televote juggernaut that ignited a passionate fanbase and showcased their modern pop edge—coupled with consistent Nordic televoting strength. Denmark (12%) and France (12%) trail closely, leveraging Denmark's 2013 win and rhythmic pop pedigree alongside France's Big 5 automatic qualification and sophisticated chanson tradition. Australia's perennial diaspora-fueled top-10 runs hold at 7.2%, while Greece benefits from similar voting blocs. With national selections still months away and the 2025 contest in Basel setting the host for 2026, odds remain fluid amid high unpredictability in song quality and geopolitics.

Trader consensus crowns Finland as the clear frontrunner for Eurovision 2026 victory at 35.3% implied probability, driven by their explosive 2023 runner-up finish with Käärijä's "Cha Cha Cha"—a televote juggernaut that ignited a passionate fanbase and showcased their modern pop edge—coupled with consistent Nordic televoting strength. Denmark (12%) and France (12%) trail closely, leveraging Denmark's 2013 win and rhythmic pop pedigree alongside France's Big 5 automatic qualification and sophisticated chanson tradition. Australia's perennial diaspora-fueled top-10 runs hold at 7.2%, while Greece benefits from similar voting blocs. With national selections still months away and the 2025 contest in Basel setting the host for 2026, odds remain fluid amid high unpredictability in song quality and geopolitics.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Dinamarca" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $42.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dinamarca" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.