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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 34.9%

Francia 13.2%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,582,135 Vol.

Finlandia 34.9%

Francia 13.2%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Australia 7.8%

Polymarket

$49,582,135 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,823,434 Vol.

35%

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Francia

$1,372,509 Vol.

13%

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Dinamarca

$888,094 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,150,205 Vol.

8%

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Grecia

$1,276,725 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,200,326 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$922,069 Vol.

4%

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Italia

$1,488,175 Vol.

3%

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Ucrania

$1,088,154 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$871,349 Vol.

2%

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Chipre

$1,076,711 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$938,911 Vol.

1%

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Chequia

$757,329 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,099,339 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,206,385 Vol.

1%

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Moldavia

$1,064,490 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$876,010 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,018,978 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$672,912 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,230,217 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$933,975 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,247,580 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,872,234 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$1,973,662 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,958,204 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,328,245 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,004,823 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,459,321 Vol.

<1%

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Polonia

$1,837,864 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$760,816 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,720,818 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,217,797 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,872,375 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,042,781 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,331,315 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, victorious at UMK26 with commanding jury and televote scores, anchors trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 glory in Vienna, further boosted by OGAE France's 12 points last week and frontrunner status in predictive models like The Model. France's internal selection of lyrical teen Monroe (13%) rides operatic winner trends from recent contests, while Denmark's DMGP champ Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive Danish ballad "Før vi går hjem" (10%) leverages Nordic bloc loyalty. Australia’s Delta Goodrem and Greece’s "Ferto" by Akylas trail amid strong national final buzz, but the fragmented field underscores uncertainty until pre-parties and full OGAE polls refine sentiment ahead of May semis.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, victorious at UMK26 with commanding jury and televote scores, anchors trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 glory in Vienna, further boosted by OGAE France's 12 points last week and frontrunner status in predictive models like The Model. France's internal selection of lyrical teen Monroe (13%) rides operatic winner trends from recent contests, while Denmark's DMGP champ Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive Danish ballad "Før vi går hjem" (10%) leverages Nordic bloc loyalty. Australia’s Delta Goodrem and Greece’s "Ferto" by Akylas trail amid strong national final buzz, but the fragmented field underscores uncertainty until pre-parties and full OGAE polls refine sentiment ahead of May semis.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, victorious at UMK26 with commanding jury and televote scores, anchors trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 glory in Vienna, further boosted by OGAE France's 12 points last week and frontrunner status in predictive models like The Model. France's internal selection of lyrical teen Monroe (13%) rides operatic winner trends from recent contests, while Denmark's DMGP champ Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive Danish ballad "Før vi går hjem" (10%) leverages Nordic bloc loyalty. Australia’s Delta Goodrem and Greece’s "Ferto" by Akylas trail amid strong national final buzz, but the fragmented field underscores uncertainty until pre-parties and full OGAE polls refine sentiment ahead of May semis.

Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, victorious at UMK26 with commanding jury and televote scores, anchors trader consensus at 35% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 glory in Vienna, further boosted by OGAE France's 12 points last week and frontrunner status in predictive models like The Model. France's internal selection of lyrical teen Monroe (13%) rides operatic winner trends from recent contests, while Denmark's DMGP champ Søren Torpegaard Lund's emotive Danish ballad "Før vi går hjem" (10%) leverages Nordic bloc loyalty. Australia’s Delta Goodrem and Greece’s "Ferto" by Akylas trail amid strong national final buzz, but the fragmented field underscores uncertainty until pre-parties and full OGAE polls refine sentiment ahead of May semis.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 35%, seguido de "Francia" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $49.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.