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Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Market icon

Ganador de Eurovisión 2026

Finlandia 36.1%

Francia 13.8%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Australia 6.6%

Polymarket

$53,428,159 Vol.

Finlandia 36.1%

Francia 13.8%

Dinamarca 10.3%

Australia 6.6%

Polymarket

$53,428,159 Vol.

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Finlandia

$1,855,858 Vol.

36%

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Francia

$1,420,333 Vol.

14%

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Dinamarca

$938,916 Vol.

10%

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Australia

$1,201,157 Vol.

7%

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Grecia

$1,318,149 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$1,233,380 Vol.

4%

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Suecia

$942,435 Vol.

4%

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Ucrania

$1,117,449 Vol.

3%

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Italia

$1,519,698 Vol.

2%

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Rumanía

$897,160 Vol.

2%

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Chequia

$809,994 Vol.

1%

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Chipre

$1,120,595 Vol.

1%

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Malta

$1,024,844 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,114,276 Vol.

1%

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Croacia

$947,835 Vol.

1%

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Alemania

$888,780 Vol.

1%

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Luxemburgo

$1,022,042 Vol.

1%

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Bélgica

$1,257,063 Vol.

1%

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Noruega

$1,299,662 Vol.

1%

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Suiza

$2,214,931 Vol.

1%

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Reino Unido

$716,257 Vol.

1%

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Polonia

$1,973,374 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$2,052,805 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$2,153,823 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$2,562,252 Vol.

<1%

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Letonia

$2,136,637 Vol.

<1%

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Moldavia

$1,151,880 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$2,358,479 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$2,113,834 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaiyán

$2,496,381 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$2,226,828 Vol.

<1%

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Lituania

$1,634,223 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,723,607 Vol.

<1%

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Serbia

$812,847 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$2,174,464 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus crowns Finland as the clear frontrunner at 36.3% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" dominating UMK on February 28 with top jury scores and electrifying violin hooks echoing the televote firepower of Finland's 2023 "Cha Cha Cha." France trails at 13.8% on Regarde! Monroe's polished pop appeal from their national final, while Denmark's 10.3% reflects strong Nordic momentum from recent previews. Australia and Greece tie at 6.5%, buoyed by fan hype but facing stiff competition. Recent OGAE votes awarding Finland 12 points from France, plus viral reaction videos in the past week, have cemented this positioning as more national finals conclude ahead of Vienna semis on May 12 and 14.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$53,428,159
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus crowns Finland as the clear frontrunner at 36.3% implied probability for Eurovision 2026 victory, propelled by Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" dominating UMK on February 28 with top jury scores and electrifying violin hooks echoing the televote firepower of Finland's 2023 "Cha Cha Cha." France trails at 13.8% on Regarde! Monroe's polished pop appeal from their national final, while Denmark's 10.3% reflects strong Nordic momentum from recent previews. Australia and Greece tie at 6.5%, buoyed by fan hype but facing stiff competition. Recent OGAE votes awarding Finland 12 points from France, plus viral reaction videos in the past week, have cemented this positioning as more national finals conclude ahead of Vienna semis on May 12 and 14.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$53,428,159
Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Finlandia" con 36%, seguido de "Francia" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" ha generado $53.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 6, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" es "Finlandia" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Francia" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de Eurovisión 2026" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.