Strong inflationary pressures across the eurozone, with the most recent CPI readings remaining above the ECB's 2% target, have positioned a 25 basis point rate increase at the June 2026 meeting as the clear market-implied favorite at 84.5% odds. This consensus reflects the central bank's continued emphasis on monetary policy tightening to anchor price stability, supported by resilient labor market conditions and steady GDP growth that have reduced expectations for additional easing. Traders are now focused on the next set of inflation and employment data releases ahead of the June decision, which could reinforce or moderate the current path, while the low probabilities assigned to no change or cuts highlight the limited scope for policy reversal in the near term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoECB Interest Rates: June 2026
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 85%
No change 15.3%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$344,435 Vol.
$344,435 Vol.
11 jun 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
15%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
85%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
1%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos 85%
No change 15.3%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$344,435 Vol.
$344,435 Vol.
11 jun 2026
50+ bps decrease
$60,661 Vol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$63,597 Vol.
<1%
No change
$71,341 Vol.
15%
Aumento de 25 puntos básicos
$84,445 Vol.
85%
Aumento de más de 50 puntos básicos
$64,390 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Strong inflationary pressures across the eurozone, with the most recent CPI readings remaining above the ECB's 2% target, have positioned a 25 basis point rate increase at the June 2026 meeting as the clear market-implied favorite at 84.5% odds. This consensus reflects the central bank's continued emphasis on monetary policy tightening to anchor price stability, supported by resilient labor market conditions and steady GDP growth that have reduced expectations for additional easing. Traders are now focused on the next set of inflation and employment data releases ahead of the June decision, which could reinforce or moderate the current path, while the low probabilities assigned to no change or cuts highlight the limited scope for policy reversal in the near term.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$344,435Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Strong inflationary pressures across the eurozone, with the most recent CPI readings remaining above the ECB's 2% target, have positioned a 25 basis point rate increase at the June 2026 meeting as the clear market-implied favorite at 84.5% odds. This consensus reflects the central bank's continued emphasis on monetary policy tightening to anchor price stability, supported by resilient labor market conditions and steady GDP growth that have reduced expectations for additional easing. Traders are now focused on the next set of inflation and employment data releases ahead of the June decision, which could reinforce or moderate the current path, while the low probabilities assigned to no change or cuts highlight the limited scope for policy reversal in the near term.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
Volumen
$344,435Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong inflationary pressures across the eurozone, with the most recent CPI readings remaining above the ECB's 2% target, have positioned a 25 basis point rate increase at the June 2026 meeting as the clear market-implied favorite at 84.5% odds. This consensus reflects the central bank's continued emphasis on monetary policy tightening to anchor price stability, supported by resilient labor market conditions and steady GDP growth that have reduced expectations for additional easing. Traders are now focused on the next set of inflation and employment data releases ahead of the June decision, which could reinforce or moderate the current path, while the low probabilities assigned to no change or cuts highlight the limited scope for policy reversal in the near term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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